{"id":48992,"date":"2026-06-18T02:52:34","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T02:52:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%a0%84%ed%99%98-%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c-%ec%83%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-eur\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T02:52:34","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T02:52:34","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%a0%84%ed%99%98-%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c-%ec%83%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-eur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%a0%84%ed%99%98-%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c-%ec%83%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-eur\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900, \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\u2026 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 1.1500\uc120 \ud5a5\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\ub294 12\ub300 0 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 4\uc6d4\uc758 8\ub300 4 \ubd84\uc5f4 \ud45c\uacb0\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uc120 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1600 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 60\ud54d \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 1.1550\uc744 \uc774\ud0c8, 1.1500 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub098\uc130\ub2e4. \uc131\uba85\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc644\ud654(\uc778\ud558) \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub358 \ubb38\uad6c\ub97c \uc0ad\uc81c\ud558\uace0, \ub300\uc2e0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud655\uace0\ud55c \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3c9\uac00\ub294 \u2018\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\ub825 \uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\uc640 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubcf4\uc870\ub97c \ub9de\ucd98\ub2e4\u2019\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uacfc \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790\ub294 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uac04\uac12) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 3\uc6d4 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 3.8%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud604 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.6%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 3.3%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub192\uc778 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc774 \u2018\uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh)\ub294 \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc6b4\uc601 \uc804\ubc18\uc744 \uc7ac\uc810\uac80\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c 5\uac1c \ud0dc\uc2a4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc2a4 \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 SEP \uac1c\ud3b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \ub3c4\uc785\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \uae30\uc900 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 50% \ub0b4\uc678, 10\uc6d4\uc740 60% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 12\uc6d4\uc740 \uc57d 75%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc77c\uc815\ub4e4\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc640 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud568\uc758<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc758 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c\u2019\ub294 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub41c \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uc5d0 \uae30\uc2b5\uc744 \ub2f9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc81c \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \ud53c\ubc97\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \u2018\uba85\ubd84\u2019\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\ub85c \uc644\uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 27\ub9cc \uac1c\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\ub77c\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uac10\ub0b4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc804\ub9dd(\uc0c1\ud5a5\ub41c \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c)\uc758 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4\ub97c \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\uc81c \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uba70, \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc740 \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc790\uccb4 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc911\ub2e8\u2019\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub410\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\uc774\uc790\uc728 \ucc28)\uc758 \ud655\ub300\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ubcf4\uc720\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>EUR\/USD \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.1500 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud48b\uc744 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \ud575\uc2ec \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 1.1500\uc758 \uc774\ud0c8\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc720\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uba85\ud655\ud55c(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc815\uc758\ub41c) \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c8 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9ac\ub354\uc2ed\uc740 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub824\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub3c4 \ubcf4\ub0c8\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc77c \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \ubc0f \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ud574 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uba74\uc11c \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74 EUR\/USD \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 1.1600 \ub808\ubca8\uc744 \u2018\uc0c1\ub2e8 \ucc9c\uc7a5\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud574 \ud398\uc5b4\uac00 \uac15\ud55c \uc800\ud56d \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ud55c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub3c4\ub85d \uad6c\uc870\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubca0\ud305\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud574\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc778\ub370\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4.\u201d FOMC, \ube44\ub458\uae30 \ubb38\uad6c \uc0ad\uc81c\u00b7SEP \uae08\ub9ac\/\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658. EUR\/USD 1.1550 \ubd95\uad34, 1.1500 \uc2dc\ud5d8. \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\u2191, \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47723,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc778\ub370\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4.\u201d FOMC, \ube44\ub458\uae30 \ubb38\uad6c \uc0ad\uc81c\u00b7SEP \uae08\ub9ac\/\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658. EUR\/USD 1.1550 \ubd95\uad34, 1.1500 \uc2dc\ud5d8. \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\u2191, \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%a0%84%ed%99%98-%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c-%ec%83%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-eur\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900, \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\u2026 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 1.1500\uc120 \ud5a5\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc778\ub370\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4.\u201d FOMC, \ube44\ub458\uae30 \ubb38\uad6c \uc0ad\uc81c\u00b7SEP \uae08\ub9ac\/\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658. 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