{"id":48987,"date":"2026-06-18T01:23:21","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T01:23:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-2026%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%c2%b7%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%83%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T01:23:21","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T01:23:21","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-2026%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%c2%b7%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%83%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-2026%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%c2%b7%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%83%81%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900, 2026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc5d0 \u2018\uc644\ud654 \uc120\ud638\u2019 \uc0ad\uc81c\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec, 100\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\ub294 12\ub300 0\uc73c\ub85c \ud604 \uc815\ucc45 \uc720\uc9c0\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 4\uc6d4\uc758 8\ub300 4 \ubd84\uc5f4\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5(easing bias)\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud588\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc870\uce58\uc758 \u2018\uc2dc\uae30\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5b8\uae09\uc744 \uc0ad\uc81c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc57d\uc18d\uc744 \uba85\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc911\uc704 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 3\uc6d4\uc758 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 3.8%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub3fc 2026\ub144 PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \uc911\uc704\uac12\uc740 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.6%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 3.3%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uacb0\uc815 \uc804 99.60\ub300 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub2e4\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 100.00\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud574 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 18:30 GMT\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uccab \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac04\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubcc0\ud654<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5b4\uc81c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc804\uccb4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ubc14\uafd4\ub193\ub294\ub2e4. \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub77c\ub294 \ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ud655\ub960 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 \uc774\uc81c 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 65%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uac83\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \ucda9\uaca9\uc801 \ubc18\uc804\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac00\uc7a5 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc751\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ud638\ub85c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 100.00\uc744 \u0928\u093f\u0930\u094d\u0923\ud638\ud558\uac8c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\ub9cc \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 \uc8fc\uc800\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc774\uba70, 2022\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub358 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 DXY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uadfc\uac70<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544, S&#038;P 500\uacfc \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uae08\uc774 \uace0\uc131\uc7a5 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\ub294 \uc21c\ud658\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uad00\uce21\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \ud06c\uac8c \uac00\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc804\ud658\uc740 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uace0\ub824\uc870\ucc28 \ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \uae68\uace0 3.8%\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 26\ub9cc5,000\uac1c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ub048\uc9c8\uae34 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \uc804\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900, \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018\uc644\ud654\u2019 \uc0ad\uc81c\ud558\uba70 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae09\uc120\ud68c. 2026 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc5d0 DXY 100 \ub3cc\ud30c. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 65%. \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d4 \uc5ed\ud48d, \ud48b\uc635\uc158\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac15\ud654.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47717,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900, \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018\uc644\ud654\u2019 \uc0ad\uc81c\ud558\uba70 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae09\uc120\ud68c. 2026 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc5d0 DXY 100 \ub3cc\ud30c. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 65%. \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d4 \uc5ed\ud48d, \ud48b\uc635\uc158\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac15\ud654.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, 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