{"id":48986,"date":"2026-06-18T01:22:30","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T01:22:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%98%ec%8a%a4-%ec%82%ad%ec%a0%9c%c2%b72026%eb%85%84\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T01:22:30","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T01:22:30","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%98%ec%8a%a4-%ec%82%ad%ec%a0%9c%c2%b72026%eb%85%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%98%ec%8a%a4-%ec%82%ad%ec%a0%9c%c2%b72026%eb%85%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \uc720\uc9c0\u00b7\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0ad\uc81c\u00b72026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5\u2026\uae08\uac12 \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3% \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uae08\uac12\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\uac00 \uc758\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ucc98\uc74c \uc8fc\uc7ac\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud574\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c XAU\/USD\ub294 4,330~4,280\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc0ad\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uace0 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc0c9\ucc44\uac00 \uc9d9\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc911\uac04\uac12 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 3\uc6d4\uc758 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.8%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\uace0, 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 2.2%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3.3%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub3fc \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\ub97c 1.3%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ub4f1 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. FOMC \ucc38\uac00\uc790\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.75%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\uace0, \ub098\uba38\uc9c0\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uac16\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc18c\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\uc120\uc21c\uc704\ub97c \ub450\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc790\uccb4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 3.3%\ub85c \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub41c \ub370\ub2e4, \ucd5c\uadfc 5\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 26\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc124\uc815\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc131\uae09\ud558\uba70 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ud074 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud69f\uc218\ub97c \ub354 \uc801\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654(repricing)\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c, XAU\/USD\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 4,280\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub2e8 \uad6c\uac04 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc758 \uc0ad\uc81c\uac00 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud575\uc2ec\uc801\uc778 \uc694\uc18c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc8fc\uc785\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 18.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\ub3c4 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\ub098 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218\ucc98\ub7fc \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed \ud655\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 2022~2023\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc120 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uae30\uac04 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019\uc5d0 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc88b\uc740 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uac70\ub480\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc9c0\uae08\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud50c\ub808\uc774\ubd81\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd9c \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0ad\uc81c\u201d\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd9c\ub801\uc600\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 SEP\ub85c 3%\ub300 \ubb3c\uac00 \uace0\ucc29\uacfc 2026 \uae08\ub9ac\uc0c1\ud5a5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uae08\uac12 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \ud655\ub300. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47865,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com 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content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%98%ec%8a%a4-%ec%82%ad%ec%a0%9c%c2%b72026%eb%85%84\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-18T01:22:30+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-18T01:22:30+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \uc720\uc9c0\u00b7\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0ad\uc81c\u00b72026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5\u2026\uae08\uac12 \ud558\ub77d - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0ad\uc81c\u201d\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd9c\ub801\uc600\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 SEP\ub85c 3%\ub300 \ubb3c\uac00 \uace0\ucc29\uacfc 2026 \uae08\ub9ac\uc0c1\ud5a5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uae08\uac12 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \ud655\ub300. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.vtmarkets.com\\\/kr-asia\\\/live-updates\\\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%c2%b7%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%98%ec%8a%a4-%ec%82%ad%ec%a0%9c%c2%b72026%eb%85%84\\\/#blogposting\",\"name\":\"\\uc5f0\\uc900, \\ub9e4\\ud30c\\uc801 \\uae30\\uc870 \\uc720\\uc9c0\\u00b7\\ud3ec\\uc6cc\\ub4dc \\uac00\\uc774\\ub358\\uc2a4 \\uc0ad\\uc81c\\u00b72026\\ub144 \\uae08\\ub9ac \\uc804\\ub9dd \\uc0c1\\ud5a5\\u2026\\uae08\\uac12 \\ud558\\ub77d - VT Markets\",\"headline\":\"\\uc5f0\\uc900, 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