{"id":48975,"date":"2026-06-17T22:23:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T22:23:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95%ec%97%90-nzd-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdrbnz-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a8-%ec%a7%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T22:23:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T22:23:31","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95%ec%97%90-nzd-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdrbnz-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a8-%ec%a7%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95%ec%97%90-nzd-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdrbnz-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a8-%ec%a7%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc784\ubc15\uc5d0 NZD\/USD \ud558\ub77d\u2026RBNZ \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NZD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 0.5820\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc7a5\uc911 0.24% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.5%~3.75% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 Fed\uc758 \uc218\uc815 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh) \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 \uccab \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub193\uc744 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uae30\uc870\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc704\ud5d8\ubbfc\uac10 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ub294 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc0c1\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 7\uc5b51000\ub9cc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZ$)\uc5d0\uc11c 10\uc5b51000\ub9cc NZ$\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc591\ud638\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc6e8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ud329-\ub9e5\ub354\ubabb \ubc00\ub7ec(Westpac McDermott Miller) \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30 80.4\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 2023\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0dd\ud65c\ube44\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 7\uc6d4 8\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR)\uac00 \uc57d 2.85% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub610\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub2a6\uac8c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP\uc640 Fed \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, NZD\/USD\ub294 0.5820 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(short-dated straddle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>Fed\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uba85\ud655\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub300\ud615 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c(\uc138\ud0c0)\ub85c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. NZD\/USD\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uc548\ucc29\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uc640 NZD\/USD \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 RBNZ\uc640 \uc778\ub0b4\ud558\ub294 Fed \uac04\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651(OIS)\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 7\uc6d4 8\uc77c RBNZ\uc758 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 85%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uae30\ucd08\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, 7\uc6d4\ub85c \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba70 NZD\/USD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uac15\uc138(\uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud560 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 3.1% \ub0b4\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, Fed\uac00 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\uace0, RBNZ\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub354 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc778 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc73c\ub85c, 8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc0ac\uc804\uc5d0 \ud55c\uc815\ud558\ub294(defined-risk) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 NZD\/USD 0.5820\uc120 \uc555\ubc15\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ub454\ud654. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub294 \uacbd\uc0c1\uc801\uc790 \ud655\ub300\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc2ec\ub9ac \uae09\ub77d, RBNZ 7\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 85%\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654 \ubd80\uac01. \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d4 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4, \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d4 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b78\uc6d4 \ucf5c \uc804\ub7b5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47945,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48975","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48975"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48975\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48975"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48975"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48975"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}