{"id":48972,"date":"2026-06-17T20:53:17","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T20:53:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%8b%a4%ed%8c%a8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%97%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T20:53:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T20:53:17","slug":"%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%8b%a4%ed%8c%a8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%97%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%8b%a4%ed%8c%a8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%97%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2e4\ud328\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2e0\ud638\uc640 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 1.0%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub110\ub9ac \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc548\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d(G10) \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0b4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\uace0, USD\/JPY\ub294 \ub3c4\ucfc4\uc758 \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>BOJ\ub294 \uae34\ucd95 \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 30\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc120 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 G10 \uc911 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc544 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \uc870\ub2ec\ud1b5\ud654(\ud380\ub529 \ucee4\ub7f0\uc2dc) \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. BOJ\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654\uc801) \uc804\ud658 \ub610\ub294 BOJ\uc758 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95\uc801) \ud0dc\ub3c4 \ub4f1 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uc758 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Persistent Yen Weakness and the Role of US Rates<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 BOJ\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc 1.0% \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc77c\ubcf8\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uac04\uc758 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub85c, \ud604\uc7ac 3.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. USD\/JPY\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac 172\uc120 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 \ubd88\uc548\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 BOJ\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uba40\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ucd09\ub9e4\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub294 2.8%\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub3fc \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc744 \ucde8\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c USD\/JPY \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Positioning and Intervention Risk<\/h3>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 7\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 USD\/JPY \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc904 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ucd9c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc190\uc2e4 \uad6c\uc870\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub9c9\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 G10 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc778\uc815\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5d4\ud654\ub97c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uc870\ub2ec\ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc720\ub3c4\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. BOJ\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc774 \ucd94\uc138\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc11c\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc774 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2022\ub144\uacfc 2024\ub144\uc5d0 \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uc774\uc804\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc784\uacc4\uce58\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uc744 \ub54c\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uba74 USD\/JPY\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc9c0\ub9cc, USD\/JPY \ud558\ub77d(\uc57d\uc138) \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uc21c\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BOJ 1.0% \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ud654 \ubb34\ubc18\uc751\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900\u2019\uc73c\ub85c. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\uaca9\ucc28 3.5%p+\uc5d0 USD\/JPY 172\uc120 \ud754\ub4e4, \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 7\uc6d4\ubb3c \ud48b\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47675,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48972\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}