{"id":48968,"date":"2026-06-17T19:53:30","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T19:53:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/abn-%ec%95%94%eb%a1%9c-9%ec%9b%94%eb%b6%80%ed%84%b0-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%96%91%eb%b0%a9%ed%96%a5-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T19:53:30","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T19:53:30","slug":"abn-%ec%95%94%eb%a1%9c-9%ec%9b%94%eb%b6%80%ed%84%b0-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%96%91%eb%b0%a9%ed%96%a5-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/abn-%ec%95%94%eb%a1%9c-9%ec%9b%94%eb%b6%80%ed%84%b0-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%96%91%eb%b0%a9%ed%96%a5-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"ABN \uc554\ub85c, 9\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\u2026\uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ABN\uc554\ub85c(ABN AMRO) \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 9\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \ub4a4, \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc911\ub9bd \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ud5a5\ud6c4 2\ub144\uac04 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac70\uc2dc\uc801 \ub3d9\uc778\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uba70, \ud1b5\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uc640 \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c \uc804\ub7b5, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc120\uc9c4\uad6d \ub300\ube44 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uac1c\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uacc4\ud574 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\uc138 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12~18\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub77d(\uc808\ud558)\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub3d9 \uae30\uac04 \u2018\ubbf8\uad6d \uc608\uc678\uc8fc\uc758\u2019\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d\uacfc \uc218\ub834\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc57d\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub354 \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub418\uac70\ub098 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ubc0f \uae30\ud0c0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac00\ud30c\ub978 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \ub610\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\ud655\uc0b0\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uac8c \ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.8%\ub85c \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uace0, 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 1.5%\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac15\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ub9c8\uce68\ub0b4 \ub454\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc57d\uc138(\uc808\ud558)\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218, \ub610\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub9cc\uae30\ub294 4\ubd84\uae30 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(2024\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uc791)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2e4\uc74c \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud589\ubcf4\uac00 \ub354 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc778 \ub3d9\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc18d \uc804\ub7b5 \uc870\uc815<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud575\uc2ec \uc6b0\ub824 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c, 7\uc6d4 \ub610\ub294 9\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c USD\/JPY\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9b4 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \uc800\ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8, \ud604\uc7ac \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc30\uc81c\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc774 15\ub9cc\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc18c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\uac83\uc774 \ub354 \uc57d\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \ubab0\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uae34 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc740 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778(\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740) \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\ud6c4 USD\/CHF \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle)\uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub2e8\uc77c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud574\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558\u2019\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4\u201d ABN\uc554\ub85c\ub294 Fed\uac00 9\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 2\ub144\uac04 \uc810\uc9c4 \uc644\ud654\ud558\uba70 12~18\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc804\ub9dd. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \ub550 \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d. \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\ub85c \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47723,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48968"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48968\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47723"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}