{"id":48964,"date":"2026-06-17T18:53:55","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:53:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T18:53:55","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:53:55","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd \uac15\ud654\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc774 5\uc6d4 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\ub85c \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uba70 6.9%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804\uce58 4.9%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>5\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uc99d\uac00\uc728 \ub300\ube44 2.0%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud655\ub300\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uac04 \uc18c\ub9e4 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uac00\uc18d\uc138\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc218\uc694 \uc5ec\uac74\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uc774\ub420\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc774 4.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 6.9%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 5\uc6d4 CPI\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 3.8%\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \ub354\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \u2018\ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u2019(hawkish) \uae30\uc870 \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ud234\uc740 7\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 75%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\uacfc \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 40%\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ubc29\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 9\uc6d4\ubb3c SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc790\uc0b0\uad70\ubcc4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6cc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 18\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 SPY \ub4f1 \uad11\ubc94\uc704 \uc9c0\uc218 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\ub77c(collar) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0) \ud639\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc139\ud130\ubcc4 \uac70\ub798\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc7ac(\uc784\uc758\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac, consumer discretionary) \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc218\ud61c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, XRT \ub4f1 \ub9ac\ud14c\uc77c ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \uc139\ud130(\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ub4f1)\ub294 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, QQQ \ub4f1 ETF \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc720\ud6a8\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ub610\ub294 \uc804\uc220\uc801(\uc2a4\ud398\ud058\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \ub610\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 106\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0, DXY \uc120\ubb3c \ub871 \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 2022\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc0c1\uae30\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ucc98\uc74c\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 Fed \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ubd88\uac00\ud53c\ud574\uc84c\uace0, \uadf8 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uc0b0\uad70 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc5ed\ud559\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucd98 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 6.9%\ub85c \uac00\uc18d, \uc18c\ube44 \ud0c4\ud0c4\u00b7\uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 3.8%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uccd0 Fed \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658 \uc6b0\ub824. 7\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 75%\u2026SOFR \uc20f\u00b7VIX \ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48964","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48964","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48964"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48964\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48964"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48964"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48964"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}