{"id":48963,"date":"2026-06-17T18:52:47","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:52:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T18:52:47","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:52:47","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \uc0c1\ud68c\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uae30\uc870 \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc81c\uc678 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.8% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(0.5%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc6d4 \ud575\uc2ec \uc18c\ub9e4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ube44 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ud55c\uce35 \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc0f \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\uc790\ub3d9\ucc28\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ub2f9\ucd08 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub358 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2a6\ucd9c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\ucd98\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc740 30% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ubc18\uc804\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc720\ub825\ud55c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc784\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc640 \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \ub4f1 \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10 \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0\uc11c \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \uc774\ubbf8 14.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub4f1 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \uc120\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 2023\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(Fed pivot) \uc608\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub918\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ud328\ud134\uc740 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uc18d\uacfc \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654\uc120\ubb3c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0 \ud655\uc778\ub41c \uacbd\uc81c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uac15\ud654\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \ubc29\uce68\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ud45c! 5\uc6d4 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc81c\uc678 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 0.8%\u2191\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4\u00b7\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uac15\ud654. \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d4 \ubd80\ub2f4, VIX \uc0c1\uc2b9. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\ud5e4\uc9c0\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \uc804\ub7b5 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