{"id":48951,"date":"2026-06-17T15:24:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T15:24:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/g10-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T15:24:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T15:24:12","slug":"g10-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/g10-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5%ec%97%90\/","title":{"rendered":"G10 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 EUR\/USD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u2026\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd \ud558\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ucd5c\uadfc G10 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc81c\uac01\uac01\uc774\uc5c8\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, EUR\/USD\ub97c \uae30\uc874 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uac00\ub46c\ub454 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc G10 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 3\uacf3(\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 RBA, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 BoC, \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c)\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uace0, 2\uacf3(\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 BOJ, \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 ECB)\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b0 \ub450 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 G10 FX \uc131\uacfc\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc704\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ub354 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uc138\uc801 \u2018\ud6c4\uc18d \ub9e4\uc218\/\ub9e4\ub3c4\u2019\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ubaa9\uc774 \uc7a1\ud600 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc2dc\uc791 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcf4\ub2e4 2026~2027\ub144 GDP \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784\uc740 EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba70 1.20\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c 1.12 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\ub85c \uc804\ud658\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub824\uba74 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub610 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(dovish) \uacb0\uacfc\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\ub85c USD\/JPY \uc20f, USD\/SEK \uc20f\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish) \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>EUR\/USD \uc804\ub9dd: \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc9c0\uc18d, \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud558\ubc29 \ud3b8\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 EUR\/USD\uac00 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uac07\ud600 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\ub4e4\uc774 \ud070 \u2018\ucda9\uaca9\u2019\uc744 \uc8fc\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74(\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138) \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\uac00 \uc2e4\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \ud604 \uc218\uc900(\uc57d 1.1450)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba70 1.1200\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ud558\ub77d(\ub4dc\ub9ac\ud504\ud2b8)\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ub85c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac(\ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1)\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub418\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uadf8 \uc815\ub3c4\uac00 \ub354 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 2026\ub144 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c 0.8%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c 21\ub9cc \uac1c \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba70 \uc131\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uac00 1.9% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ucd09\ub9e4<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uc635\uc158\uc744 outright\ub85c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \uc801\ud569\ud558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(CVIX)\uac00 6.5 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c(\uc138\ud0c0)\ub85c \ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub610\ub294 8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) EUR\/USD \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00, \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc775 \uad6c\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub514\ud30c\uc778)\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uace0 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \u2018\uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc774\ud0c8\u2019\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucd94\uc138\uc801\uc778 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uae30 \uc27d\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc2dc\uac04 \uacbd\uacfc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uace0\uc694\ud568\uc744 \uae68\ub824\uba74 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub098 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658 \uac19\uc740 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc0bc\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ud655\ub300\uc758 \ud2b8\ub9ac\uac70\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G10 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc EUR\/USD\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uace0\ucc29. \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \ud3b8\ud5a5, 1.1450\u21921.12 \ub4dc\ub9ac\ud504\ud2b8. \uc800\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc18d \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ub9ac\u2014OTM \ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4, \ucd09\ub9e4\ub294 \u7f8e\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7Fed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47737,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48951","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48951"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48951\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48951"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48951"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48951"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}