{"id":48950,"date":"2026-06-17T15:23:05","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T15:23:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a7%80%ec%b9%a8-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4333%eb%8b%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T15:23:05","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T15:23:05","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a7%80%ec%b9%a8-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4333%eb%8b%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a7%80%ec%b9%a8-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4333%eb%8b%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\u00b7\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\u00b7\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc9c0\uce68 \ub300\uae30 \uc18d \uae08\uac12 4,333\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,332.60\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uc7a5\uc911 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \uc8fc\uac04 \ud575\uc2ec \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ub9cc\ud07c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud070 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \ud68c\uc758\ub85c \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.5%~3.75% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot) \ub4f1 \uc218\uc815 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Fed \uc758\uc7a5) \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774\ub2e4. 60\uc77c \ud734\uc804\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c\uac00 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \ubcf4\ud0f0\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud569\uc758 \uc138\ubd80 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \uad00\ub828 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc774\uacac\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(dovish)\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc9c0, \ub9e4\ud30c(hawkish)\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc55e\ub454 \uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798 \ub3d9\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 17\uc77c \uae30\uc900, \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \ud328\ud134\ucc98\ub7fc \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uac07\ud78c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \uae08 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3(\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc774\ud0c8) \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc2dc \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba70\uce60\uac04 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc77c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc640 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle)\u2019\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\uc774 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uad6c\uc870\uac00 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1a4\uc744 \ub9de\ud600\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \ub0bc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(put spread) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, 2024\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ucda9\uaca9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \uc57d 3% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \ub300\ube44 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ubc29\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uae30\uc874 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bullish call spread)\uac00 \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubd84\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uadf8 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ub192\uc774\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4\uba74 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc720\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uae08\uc744 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc704\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \ud569\uc758\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uba70 \uae08\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\ud53c\ub09c\ucc98) \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc624\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud3ec\ucc29\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uc720\uc785\ub418\uba70 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc790\uccb4\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc124\uacc4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\ub97c \ub118\uaca8 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub3c4\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub610\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\uc804\uc5d0 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uba74 \ucd08\uae30 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uccad\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc5f0\uc900 \ud55c\ub9c8\ub514\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 \ud3ed\uc8fc?\u201d \uae08, 4,332\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc18d FOMC \ub300\uae30. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\u00b7\uc6cc\uc2dc \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc88c\uc6b0. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2191, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47832,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48950","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48950"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48950\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47832"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48950"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48950"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48950"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}