{"id":48948,"date":"2026-06-17T14:53:01","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T14:53:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-160%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8fomc-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%eb%8b%b9\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T14:53:01","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T14:53:01","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-160%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8fomc-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%eb%8b%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-160%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8fomc-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%eb%8b%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud658\uc728 160\uc5d4\ub300 \uc0c1\ud68c \uc18d \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\u2026FOMC \uacb0\uc815\u00b7\ub2f9\uad6d \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY)\uc740 160.20\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc549\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc 160.00\uc120\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. 160.00\uc740 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc6a9\uc778 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uacbd\uacc4\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc640, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh) \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uccab \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ud22c\ud45c\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc804\uc784 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4(Jerome Powell)\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ub300\uc678 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc18c\ud654\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub098, \uc6cc\uc2dc\uac00 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(Dot Plot) \uc791\uc131\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc18c\ubb38\ub3c4 \ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc801\uc740 \uc801\uc790\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uae30\uacc4\uc218\uc8fc\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud55c \ubc88 \uae5c\uc9dd \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 31\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc778 1%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ub300\ube44 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\uc640 \uac1c\uc785 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 160.20 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\ub300\ud55c \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc5d0 \ub193\uc5ec \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub85c, \uc2e4\ud6a8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Effective Federal Funds Rate)\uac00 3.75%\uc778 \ubc18\uba74 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 1%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce5c\ub2e4. 275bp(2.75%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uc5d4\uc744 \ube4c\ub824 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc131 \uc788\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>160.00\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac1c\uc785 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uadf9\ud788 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ubd04\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uac15\ub3c4\uc758 \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc57d 600\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc785\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub418\uba70, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uc57d 5\uc5d4 \uae09\ub77d\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \uc5d4\ud654 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(JPY call)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae09\ubcc0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc7ac\ud604\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc0c8 \uc758\uc7a5 \uccb4\uc81c\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud55c\uce35 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ud604 \uc218\uc900 \uc720\uc9c0 \ubc0f \uc9c0\ud45c \uc758\uc874\u2019 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uae08\uc774\ub77c\ub3c4 \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uad00\ub828 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc870\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 16 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc548\ub3c4\ud55c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70, \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uace0\uc870\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\ud61c\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc624\ud504) \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac1c\uc785 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac \uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c\uc758 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \uc720\uc785\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc USD\/JPY \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \ub2e8 \uba87 \uc2dc\uac04 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uce90\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc9c0\uc6cc\ubc84\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b(protective puts)\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ud544\uc218 \ube44\uc6a9\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d4\ud654, \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 160.20\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub77d\u2026\u2018160 \uacbd\uacc4\u2019 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc7ac\uc810\ud654. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c 275bp \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub85c \uce90\ub9ac \ub9e4\ub825 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc0c8 Fed \uc758\uc7a5 \uccab \ud68c\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47905,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48948","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48948","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48948"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48948\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48948"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48948"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48948"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}