{"id":48924,"date":"2026-06-17T07:53:30","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T07:53:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95-%ec%86%8d-usd-jpy-160-25%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdboj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T07:53:30","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T07:53:30","slug":"fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95-%ec%86%8d-usd-jpy-160-25%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdboj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95-%ec%86%8d-usd-jpy-160-25%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdboj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed \uacb0\uc815 \uc784\ubc15 \uc18d USD\/JPY 160.25\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ud558\ub77d\u2026BoJ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138 \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 160.25\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 6\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uad00\ub9dd\uc138\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac04 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc2e0\uc784 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ub044\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c Fed\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uc131\uba85, \uc218\uc815 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd(SEP), \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \ucc3e\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.75%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.0%\ub85c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 1995\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uad00\ub41c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc694\uc778 \ud3ec\ud568)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uc751 \uc131\uaca9\uc774\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\ub3c4 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Fed \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc USD\/JPY \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>USD\/JPY\uac00 160.25 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc624\ub298 \ub2a6\uac8c \uc608\uc815\ub41c Fed \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub808\ubca8\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uad6c\uac04\uc774\uba70, Fed\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218\ub3c4, \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc744 \uc720\ub3c4\ud560 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc804\ub0a0 BOJ\uc758 1.0%\ub85c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uac70\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728\uc774 160\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \ub54c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc130\ub358 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 USD\/JPY \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uac8c \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub192\uc740 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub3d9\ubc18\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc Fed \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \u2018\uc591\uc790\ud0dd\uc77c\u2019 \uc131\uaca9\uc744 \ub760\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. USD\/JPY 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 11.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc9c0\ub09c \ubd84\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 8%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubdf0\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) JPY \ucf5c(USD\/JPY \ud48b) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc800\ube44\uc6a9 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc0ac\uc804\uc5d0 \ud55c\uc815(defined risk)\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc5d4\ud654 \uae09\uac15\uc138 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ub9cc\ud07c 155.00\uc120 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc77c\ubd80 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\ub9cc \ub098\uc640\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>Fed\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc608\uc0c1\uc740 \uacac\uace0\ud558\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 95%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdb0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ub450 \ub2ec \uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uc784 Fed \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\ucd94\uaca8 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \u2018\uac1c\uc785 \uc758\uc9c0\u2019\ub97c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 160.25\uc120 \u2018\uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019\u2026Fed \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d \ud1a4\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c\u00b7\ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uac00\ub97c \ubcc0\uc218. BOJ 1.0% \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4 \uace0\uc870. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7JPY \ucf5c \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49954,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48924","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48924"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48924\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}