{"id":48914,"date":"2026-06-17T05:23:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T05:23:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80aud-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T05:23:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T05:23:32","slug":"rba-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80aud-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80aud-usd-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \uc720\uc9c0\u2026AUD\/USD \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uc815\ucc45 \uc124\uc815\uc744 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae34\ucd95 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 0.7070\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate)\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08 25bp\uc529 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc778\uc0c1\ud55c \ub4a4 \ub098\uc628 \u2018\uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub9c9\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc774\uc288\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc628) \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uba70 \uace0\ubca0\ud0c0 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. JD \ubc34\uc2a4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubd80\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uc608\ube44 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \uacf5\uac1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub294\ub370, \uc55e\uc11c \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc11c\uba85\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc138\uc608\ub4dc \uc544\ubc14\uc2a4 \uc544\ub77c\uadf8\uce58 \uc774\ub780 \uc678\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud611\uc0c1 \ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uac00 \uac19\uc740 \ub0a0 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc774\uc5b4 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 3.50%~3.75% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131(\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4) \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\uc694 \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>RBA \uc815\ucc45\uacfc AUD \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 RBA\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0(hawkish hold)\u2019\uc744 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD) \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 CPI\uac00 3.8%\ub85c \uc644\uace0\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, RBA\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c \uc758\uc9c0\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub0b4 0.7100 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub97c \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 AUD\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559, Fed \uacb0\uc815, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \u2018\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc628\u2019 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc785\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \ud1b5\uc0c1\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4(sell volatility) \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ubbfc\uac10 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc624\ub298 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc778 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ud1a4\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP)\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc774\ud6c4, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4 \ubcc0\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ub85c \uc5f0\uacb0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ubc29 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 USD \uad00\ub828 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 AUD \uac15\uc138\uc640 USD \uc57d\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc758 \uacb0\ud569\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc 4.35%\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d 3.75% \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uce21\uba74\uc758 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \uc694\uc778(\ud14c\uc77c\uc708\ub4dc)\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac 60bp \uc218\uc900\uc778 \uc774 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(dovish)\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 AUD\/USD \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0\u201d RBA\uc5d0 AUD\/USD 0.7070 \ubc18\ub4f1. \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\uc9c0\u00b7CPI 3.8%\uac00 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0. \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc628+Fed \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ud30c\uc6d4 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc6cc\uc2dc \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9, 0.7100 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc2dc\ub3c4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47697,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48914","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48914"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48914\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47697"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48914"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48914"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48914"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}