{"id":48902,"date":"2026-06-17T02:22:27","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T02:22:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95-%ec%86%8d-usd-jpy-160-50%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T02:22:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T02:22:27","slug":"fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95-%ec%86%8d-usd-jpy-160-50%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9e%84%eb%b0%95-%ec%86%8d-usd-jpy-160-50%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%80\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed \uacb0\uc815 \uc784\ubc15 \uc18d USD\/JPY 160.50\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ub4f1\ub77d\u2026\uc77c\ubcf8 \uac1c\uc785 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc815\ucc45\uacb0\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0(\ud68c\ub2f4\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \uac1c\uc2dc) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \ud658\uc728\uc740 160.47\ub85c, \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub110\ub9ac \uc778\uc2dd\ub418\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc774\ud6c4 159.50\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \uac00\uc18d\ub418\uc9c0\ub294 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 160.50\uc774 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uace0\uc810(YTD) 160.73\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc774\ud6c4 161.00 \ub808\ubca8\uc774 \uc2dc\uc57c\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc628\ub2e4. \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 160.00 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uacbd\uc6b0 159.50\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\uc774 \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 50\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) 159.00, 100\uc77c SMA 158.02\uac00 \ucc28\ub840\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc778 \uac1c\uc785 \uc704\ud611 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub07c\uc778 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 12%\ub85c, \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec 8%\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8 \uac04 3.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub77c\ub294 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub97c \uc704\ud574, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 161.00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4. RSI\uc758 \uac15\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \uac1c\uc785 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uae30\uc870\uc801 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uac1c\uc785 \ub300\ube44 \ubc0f \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uacfc\uac70 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uac1c\uc785\ud588\ub358 \uad6c\uac04 \uae4a\uc219\uc774 \uc9c4\uc785\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \ub54c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub418\uba70, 2022\ub144 \uac1c\uc785 \ub2f9\uc2dc\ucc98\ub7fc \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 3~5\uc5d4 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uae30\ub3c4 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ub610\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \ubca0\ud305\uc73c\ub85c, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub3d9\uc77c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc758 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uc758 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ubaa8\ub450 \ud3ec\uad04\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 160.47\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc9c0\uc18d, \u2018\uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4\u2019\uc5d0 \ud0c4\ub825 \uc81c\ud55c. BoJ \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d4 \uc57d\uc138. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1(1M IV 12%). 161 \ucf5c\u00b7\uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ud48b\u00b7\ub871\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47799,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48902","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48902"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48902\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}