{"id":48898,"date":"2026-06-17T01:22:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T01:22:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9fed-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T01:22:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T01:22:41","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9fed-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9fed-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026Fed \uc804\ub9dd\u00b7\uc6cc\uc2dc \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 0.81% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 4,306\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 4,344\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc11c\uba85 \uc608\uc815\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud588\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \uc774\ud2c0 \uc77c\uc815\uc758 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uace0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2e0\uc784 \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh)\uac00 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9b0 \ub4a4 \uccab \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc744 \uc5f0\ub2e4. \ud504\ub77c\uc784 \ud130\ubbf8\ub110(Prime Terminal)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 80%, \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 20%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. ADP\uc758 4\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 2\ub9cc5,500\uba85\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\uc804 2\ub9cc9,000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ub4f1 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uae08 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub97c \ub354 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 5bp \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 4.484%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 0.12% \ub0b4\ub9b0 99.54\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\ub098 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\uc740 \uc6b0\uc5d0\ub2e4 \uac00\uc988\uc624 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uc785\uc6d0\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ucc44 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 20\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) \ubd80\uadfc\uc778 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 1\ucc28 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 200\uc77c SMA 4,458\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,500\ub2ec\ub7ec, 50\uc77c SMA 4,571\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\uc5b4 4,250\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,023\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<h3>\uc720\uac00\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uae08\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc644\ud654\uc2dc\ucf1c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc, \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc2e0\uc784 \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \uccab \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub418, \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 CPI\ub294 \uc5f0\uc728 2.8%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 WTI\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c 78\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354\ud574\uc9c0\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(\ud30c\uc6d4)\u2019\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uba85\ubd84\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234(CME FedWatch Tool)\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud574, \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 25% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uae08\uc774 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc2dc\uac04\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub9cc\uae30\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub610\ub294 8\uc6d4\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc815\ucc45 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \uad00\ub9ac\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 BoJ \ub4f1 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ucc44\uad8c ETF \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uae09\ub4f1\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \ucc44\uad8c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ud558\ub77d\uc2dc\ud0ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544, \ud574\ub2f9 \ud48b \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0b4\uba70 \uae08 \uc911\uc2ec \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uc190\uc2e4 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 20\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uacfc \uacb9\uce58\ub294 \u2018\uaca9\uc804\uc9c0\u2019\ub85c \ub69c\ub837\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud574 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc778 4,458\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\uc744 \ucd95\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uacc4\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\ud45c, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4(Retail Sales)\uc640 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c(Initial Jobless Claims)\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \ub354 \uad73\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \uac15\uc138 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc13c\ud2f0\uba3c\ud2b8\ub294 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\u00b7\uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 0.81% \ubc18\ub4f1, 4,344\ub2ec\ub7ec. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \uae30\ub300 \uc18d \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138. FOMC \ub3d9\uacb0(80%)\u00b7\uc6cc\uc2dc \uccab \ud68c\uacac, 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c\uac00 \uad00\uac74.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47727,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48898","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48898"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48898\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47727"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48898"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48898"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48898"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}