{"id":48892,"date":"2026-06-16T23:23:52","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T23:23:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-1-3400%ec%84%a0-%ec%83%81\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T23:23:52","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T23:23:52","slug":"%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-1-3400%ec%84%a0-%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%90%eb%8f%84%ed%91%9c-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-1-3400%ec%84%a0-%ec%83%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\u00b7\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \uc2e0\ud638 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1.3400\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uc548\uc815\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 1.3400\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba74\uc11c GBP\/USD\uac00 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\u2013\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218\uc138 \uac15\ud654\ub85c \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 GBP\/USD\ub294 0.03% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\ub9cc \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc73c\uba70, \ud658\uc728\uc740 1.3400\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc228 \uace0\ub974\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 16\uc77c) \uae30\uc900 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 1.3400\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \u2018\uad00\ub9dd\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 90% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \u2018\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc758\uc911\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 GBP\/USD\uc758 1\uc8fc\uc77c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uba70\uce60 \uc0ac\uc774 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac Cboe \uc2a4\ud138\ub9c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(BPVIX)\ub294 8.2 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c \ub610\ub294 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc608\uce21\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(long strangle)\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ub3cc\ud30c\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9de\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uacfc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \uc5ec\ubd80\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc601\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.9%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 BoE \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 BoE\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \ubc18\uba74 BoE\uac00 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uac15\uc81c\ubc1b\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uba74, \uc5f0\uc911 \ud6c4\ubc18 GBP\/USD\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825(\ud638\uc7ac)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc644\ud654\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub0ae\ucdb0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574\uc654\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ubd80\ucc28\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638(risk-on) \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c1.3400 \uc9c0\ud0a8 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc, \uc9c4\uc9dc \uc2b9\ubd80\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c?\u201d GBP\/USD\ub294 \uad00\ub9dd \uc18d \ubcf4\ud569. BPVIX \uc800\uc810\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ubd80\uc0c1. BoE-\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub3c4 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c1.3400 \uc9c0\ud0a8 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc, \uc9c4\uc9dc \uc2b9\ubd80\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c?\u201d GBP\/USD\ub294 \uad00\ub9dd \uc18d \ubcf4\ud569. BPVIX \uc800\uc810\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ubd80\uc0c1. 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BPVIX \uc800\uc810\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ubd80\uc0c1. 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