{"id":48888,"date":"2026-06-16T22:23:37","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T22:23:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/boj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-160-40%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%9a%a1%eb%b3%b4%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b3%84-%ec%86%8d\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T22:23:37","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T22:23:37","slug":"boj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-160-40%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%9a%a1%eb%b3%b4%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b3%84-%ec%86%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/boj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-160-40%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%9a%a1%eb%b3%b4%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b3%84-%ec%86%8d\/","title":{"rendered":"BOJ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, 160.40\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ud6a1\ubcf4\u2026\uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4 \uc18d \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 160.40\uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c 160.45 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc313\ub294 \ub370 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uc5c8\ub2e4. BOJ\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.75%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.00%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uce58\uc600\ub2e4. \uacb0\uc815\uc740 7\ub300 1 \ud45c\uacb0\ub85c \ud1b5\uacfc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc6b0\uce58\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc774\uce58 BOJ \ubd80\ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc6b4\uc6a9\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud1a4\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud658\uc728 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>BOJ\ub294 2027\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub9e4\uc785 \ucd95\uc18c(\ud14c\uc774\ud37c\ub9c1)\ub97c \uc7a0\uc815 \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \ub9e4\uc6d4 \uc57d 2\uc870 \uc5d4 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc77c\ubcf8\uad6d\ucc44(JGB) \ub9e4\uc785\uc740 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 JGB \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \ucd08\uc644\ud654 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 160.47 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 20\uae30\uac04 SMA(160.24)\uc640 100\uae30\uac04 SMA(159.85) \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 58\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0 \ub808\ubca8\uc740 160.32, 160.24, 160.15\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub418\uba70, 159.85\uac00 \uc911\uae30 \ud575\uc2ec \ubc14\ub2e5\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>BoJ Policy and Persistent Yen Weakness<\/h3>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc774\ubc88 1.00%\ub85c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uba48\ucd94\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc778\uc0c1(dovish hike)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ucc44\uad8c \ub9e4\uc785\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b8 \uac83\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uae34\ucd95\ud558\uae30\ub97c \uaebc\ub9b0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. BOJ\uc758 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc778 \uc2e0\uc911\ud568\uc740 USD\/JPY\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ucabd\uc5d0 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8 \uac04 \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub85c, \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 2.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720\ub97c \uc720\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc774 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ub3d9\uae30\ub294 BOJ\uc758 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc778\uc0c1\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \uc11c\ub458\ub7ec \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Protective Strategies Around Intervention Risks<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud658\uc728\uc774 160.40 \ub808\ubca8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uadf9\ub3c4\uc758 \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ubd04 USD\/JPY\uac00 160\uc120\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc124 \ub54c \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc130\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5d4 \ub9e4\uc218 \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \uc608\uace0 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc5b8\uc81c\ub4e0 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 160.50\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 USD\/JPY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c0\uae09\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud574, \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc704\ud5d8\uc73c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc774 \uac1c\uc785\ud574 USD\/JPY\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud070 \uc218\uc775\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \uac1c\uc785 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc77c\uc885\uc758 \ubcf4\ud5d8 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d4\ud654, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud798 \ubabb \uc4f4\ub2e4\u2014\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc5d4 160.45 \u2018\uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4\u2019 \uc7ac\uc9c4\uc785. BOJ 1.00% \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud14c\uc774\ud37c \uc911\ub2e8\u00b7\ub9e4\uc785 \uc9c0\uc18d. \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\u00b7\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9 \uacac\uc870, \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc5f4\ub9bc. \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ubc1c \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ubc29\uc5b4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47777,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48888","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48888"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48888\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48888"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48888"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48888"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}