{"id":48887,"date":"2026-06-16T22:22:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T22:22:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ed%8b%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4300\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T22:22:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T22:22:41","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ed%8b%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4300","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ed%8b%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4300\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \ud2c0 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uace0\uc870\u2026\uae08\uac12 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,325\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 4,355\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc00\ub9b0 \ub4a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \uc9c0\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc138\ubd80 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uacfc \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uc678\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \ub808\ubc14\ub17c \uacf5\uc2b5 \ub610\ub294 \uc810\ub839 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc774 \uc7a0\uc815 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \uc704\ubc18\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c\ub294 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \ucca0\uc218 \uc5c6\uc774 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc774 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uacfc \ud575 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \ucd5c\uc885 \ud655\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uae08\uac12\uc744 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uae08\uc694\uc77c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud569\uc758\uc640 Fed\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc138\uacc4\uae08\ud611\ud68c(WGC)\uc758 \u20182026 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\u2019\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc751\ub2f5\uc790\uc758 45%\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 4\ub144\uac04 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08 \ub9e4\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 1,000\ud1a4\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\uc804 10\ub144\uc758 \ub450 \ubc30 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub77c\uace0 \ucd94\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c XAU\/USD\ub294 200\uc77c\u00b7100\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\uac04 RSI\ub294 44, MACD \ud788\uc2a4\ud1a0\uadf8\ub7a8\ub3c4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,458\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc, \uadf8 \ub2e4\uc74c\uc740 4,755\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ub300\ud615 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uaddc\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 Fed \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uc11c\uba85\uc774 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\uac12\uc774 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba70\uce60\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc790\ubcf8 \ubcf4\uc804\uacfc \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ub3fc\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.9%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba70 Fed\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. Fed \ud380\ub4dc \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ubb38\uad6c\ub97c \ub0b4\ub193\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uae08\uc758 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\ub3c4 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. GVZ \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 21.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c \uc8fc\uc694 \ub274\uc2a4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9de\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544\ub3c4 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\u00b7\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub4f1 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc774\uc6d0\uc801(\ubc14\uc774\ub108\ub9ac) \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubb34\ubc29\ube44(futures naked) \uc120\ubb3c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc811\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc7a5\uae30 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uae08\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec 100\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74\uc11c \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub428\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\ub77c\uba74 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc545\uc7ac\ub098 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 Fed\ub77c\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc548\uc804\ud310\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e8\uae30 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc5f0\uac04 1,000\ud1a4\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ub9e4\uc785\uc740 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uad8c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud63c\ub780 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uacac\uace0\ud788 \ud588\ub358 2010~2012\ub144\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ub274\uc2a4\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0ac\uc218\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018\uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ud3ed\ud48d\u2019 \uc784\ubc15. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758\u00b7Fed \uacb0\uc815 \ub300\uae30 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2191, \ub9e4\ud30c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uacbd\uacc4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ub9e4\uc785\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0, 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\ud5d8 \uac00\ub2a5. \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\ubc29\uc5b4 \uc720\ub9ac.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47667,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48887","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48887","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48887"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48887\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47667"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48887"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48887"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48887"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}