{"id":48886,"date":"2026-06-16T21:52:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T21:52:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%84%ec%a0%95%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%82%ac%ec%83%81-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T21:52:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T21:52:46","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%84%ec%a0%95%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%82%ac%ec%83%81-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%84%ec%a0%95%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%82%ac%ec%83%81-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uac00 \uc9c4\uc815\u2026\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58, \u2018\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\u2019 Fed \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ucd09\uac01"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uacfc \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780 \uac04 \ud734\uc804\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\uace0, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c \ubc0f \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4 \ud574\uc81c \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud78c \ub370 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 5\ub9cc2,100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc57d 5\ubd84\uc758 1\uc774 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc744 \ube5a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uce58\uc19f\uc558\uace0, \ub2f9\uc2dc 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 4\ub9cc5,000\uc120 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ud734\uc804\uc774 \uc815\ucc29\ub418\uc790 \uc720\uac00\ub294 70\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uc624\uba70 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ub410\ub358 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud569\uc758\ubb38\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc11c\uba85\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0 \uacfc\uac70 \ud734\uc804\ub3c4 \ubb34\uc0b0\ub41c \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4, \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucde8\uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc81c \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \ud68c\uc758\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac04\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ucc98\uc74c \uc8fc\uc7ac\ud558\uba70, \uc815\ucc45 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 GMT 18:00, \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc740 GMT 18:30\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 60%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704\uac00 3.75%~4.00%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \u0431\u0430\u0437\uc774\uc2a4 \ucf00\uc774\uc2a4\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 12\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 3.50%~3.75%\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uace0, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uac70\uc758 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubc18\ub300 \ud45c\uac00 4\uac74 \ub098\uc654\uace0, \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ud68c\uc758\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ubb3c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4 \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\uac00 45 \ubd80\uadfc, 5\ubd84 \ubd09\uc740 19 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 5\ub9cc2,100, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 5\ub9cc1,800\uacfc 5\ub9cc1,650 \ubd80\uadfc, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 50\uc77c EMA\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 5\ub9cc0,000\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc640 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc18d Fed \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub3d9\ub825\uc740 \uac70\uc758 \uc804\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \ub274\uc2a4\uc640 \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uac00 5\ub9cc2,100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc804\uc2dc \uace0\uc810\uc778 120\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 35% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubca0\ud305\uc774\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1\ub3c4 \ud1b5\uc81c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uc804\uc774\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc0c1\uae30\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2e8\uc77c \uc774\uc288\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud55c \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \ub0b4\uc77c \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub85c, \uc0c8 \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uccb4\uc81c\uc758 \uccab \ud68c\uc758\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 60%\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \u2018\ud3c9\ud654 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\u2019\uc640 \uc815\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ubc30\uce58\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uc790\uccb4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804\uc7a5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Fed \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub454 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub099\uad00\ub860\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ucda9\ub3cc\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud575\uc2ec \ud14c\ub9c8\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uc77c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \ud734\uc804 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc11c\uba85\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \u2018\ubc14\uc774\ub108\ub9ac\u2019\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd09\ub9e4 \uc9c1\uc804 \ube44\uc2fc \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774\uba70, \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ubc29 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3b8\uc774 \ub0ab\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec\uc740 \ub2e4\uc6b0 5\ub9cc1,800\uc120\uc73c\ub85c, \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc774\ud0c8\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uac00 \ub418\uac10\uae30\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub54c \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc5d0 \uacfc\uc789 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc544, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uccab \ub370\ubdd4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc808\uc81c\ub41c \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uac00 5\ub9cc1,800 \uc704\ub97c \uc9c0\ud0ac \uacbd\uc6b0 \uac15\uc138 \ucd94\uc138\ub294 \ud655\uc778\ub41c\ub2e4. 5\ub9cc2,100 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae68\ub057\ud558\uac8c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub9e4\ubb3c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \u2018\ud074\ub9ac\uc5b4 \uc5d0\uc5b4\u2019 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc2a4\ub7fd\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud574\uc18c\ub41c \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub8e8\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc6d0\uce59\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud734\uc804 \ud6c8\ud48d\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc6b0 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\u201d\u2026\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 5\ub9cc2,100\uc120 \ud130\uce58. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud569\uc758 \ubbf8\uc11c\uba85\u00b7\uc7ac\ucda9\ub3cc \uc6b0\ub824 \uc18d, \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5 \uccab Fed\uc11c 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 60% \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ud734\uc804 \ud6c8\ud48d\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc6b0 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\u201d\u2026\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 5\ub9cc2,100\uc120 \ud130\uce58. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud569\uc758 \ubbf8\uc11c\uba85\u00b7\uc7ac\ucda9\ub3cc \uc6b0\ub824 \uc18d, \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5 \uccab Fed\uc11c 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 60% \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 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