{"id":48862,"date":"2026-06-16T15:23:49","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T15:23:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%af%bc%ea%b0%84-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T15:23:49","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T15:23:49","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%af%bc%ea%b0%84-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%af%bc%ea%b0%84-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc138 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc644\ud654\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 5\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. ADP \uc804\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \ubcf4\uc870\uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 NER Pulse\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 5\uc6d4 30\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c 4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \uc8fc\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0 2\ub9cc5500\uac1c\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \ub298\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 2\ub9cc9000\uac1c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \ucc44\uc6a9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uc2dd\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc870\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 99.70 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc5c6\uc774 \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc774\ud2c0\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \ud130\uce58\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uc640 \uc5f0\uad00\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uc0c8\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c(MOU)\ub97c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uac74\uacfc \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc785\ub825 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \u2018\ucd5c\ub300 \uace0\uc6a9\u2019\uacfc \u2018\ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\u2019\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc774\uc911 \ucc45\ubb34\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud558\uace0, ECB\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc591\uce21 \ubaa8\ub450 \uace0\uc6a9 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud310\ub2e8 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc644\ud654<\/h3>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \ucc44\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \ubcfc \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS)\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c 5\uc6d4 \uacf5\uc2dd \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \uc99d\uac00\uac00 15\ub9cc\uba85\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(18\ub9cc\uba85)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud568\uc774 \ub9c8\uce68\ub0b4 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub454\ud654\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654\uc640\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc774\uc911 \ucc45\ubb34\uc778 \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \u201c\ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18(data-dependent)\u201d\ud55c \uae30\uc870\ub85c \ud1a4\uc744 \ubc14\uafe8\uc73c\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc804\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubd80\ub2f4(\uc5ed\ud48d)\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch Tool) \ud655\ub960\uc740 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 50%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc804\ud658\ub420 \ub54c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \ub4a4\ub530\ub974\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 EUR\/USD \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\ud61c\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \ud68c\uc758\uc640 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\u00b7NFP \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 CPI\ub3c4 2.8%\ub85c \uc644\ud654. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uba85\ubd84 \uc57d\ud654, 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 50%\u2191. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\u2026 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\u00b7SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uae30\ud68c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ubbf8 \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\u00b7NFP \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 CPI\ub3c4 2.8%\ub85c \uc644\ud654. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uba85\ubd84 \uc57d\ud654, 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 50%\u2191. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\u2026 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\u00b7SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uae30\ud68c.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" 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