{"id":48861,"date":"2026-06-16T15:22:36","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T15:22:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ec%99%80-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%97%a4%ec%a7%80-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81-%ec%86%8d-adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T15:22:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T15:22:36","slug":"%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ec%99%80-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%97%a4%ec%a7%80-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81-%ec%86%8d-adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ec%99%80-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%97%a4%ec%a7%80-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81-%ec%86%8d-adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2dc\uc7a5, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubc18\uc601 \uc18d ADP 4\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654 4\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc740 2023\ub144 5\uc6d4 2\ub9cc5,500\uba85\uc73c\ub85c, \uc9c1\uc804 2\ub9cc9,000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\ud45c \uae30\uc900 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc744 3,500\uba85 \ub0ae\ucd94\uba70, \uc774\uc804 \uae30\uac04 \ub300\ube44 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. ADP\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>2023\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uace0\uc6a9 \ucc3d\ucd9c \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uc558\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc778 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 ADP \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbfc\uac04\ubd80\ubb38 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 9\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub0c9\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218\uac00 4\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc778 790\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub300\uc751\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \ud55c\uce35 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 9\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc744 75% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 2\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.10% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc120 \uac83\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc0f \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ub0c9\uac01 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \u2018\uc5f0\ucc29\ub959(soft landing)\u2019\uacfc \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4 \uc0ac\uc774\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ub17c\uc7c1\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc74c CPI \ubc0f \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574 7\uc6d4\u00b78\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218\uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc804\ubc18\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc548\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc77c\ub4dc\ucee4\ube0c \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub108(steepener) \uac70\ub798\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218)\uacfc 10\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4)\uc744 \uacb0\ud569\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\uace0 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120\uc774 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc815\uc0c1\uc801\uc778 \uc6b0\uc0c1\ud5a5 \uae30\uc6b8\uae30\ub85c \ubcf5\uc6d0\ub420\uc218\ub85d \uc774 \uad6c\uc870\ub294 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\ub3d9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[\uc18d\ubcf4] ADP 4\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 2.55\ub9cc\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654, \uace0\uc6a9 \ub0c9\uac01 \uc2e0\ud638 \uac15\ud654. 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300(75%+)\uc5d0 SOFR \ub871\u00b72\ub144\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d. VIX\ucf5c \ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\uc77c\ub4dc\ucee4\ube0c \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub108 \uac80\ud1a0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47709,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48861\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}