{"id":48843,"date":"2026-06-16T10:52:55","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T10:52:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/boj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94%ec%9d%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T10:52:55","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T10:52:55","slug":"boj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94%ec%9d%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/boj-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94%ec%9d%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95\/","title":{"rendered":"BOJ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 \ud558\ub77d, \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd \uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 160.25 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) \uc815\ucc45\uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. BOJ\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\uba70 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\ud560 \ub73b\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uacb0\uc815(\uc774\ubca4\ud2b8)\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub193\uc600\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 4\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc740 160.34 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70, 20\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc778 159.77\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud55c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uac15\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 60.42\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\ub294 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0\ub9cc \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 20\uc77c EMA(159.77)\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud558\uba70, \uc77c\uac04 \uc885\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 5\uc6d4 20\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc778 158.60\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uace0\uc810\uc778 160.73\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 161.00\uc774 \uc2dc\uc57c\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Shifting Fundamentals And Volatility Outlook<\/h3>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud588\ub358 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \uc881\ud600\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uc0dd\uacbc\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, USD\/JPY\uc758 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ud070 \ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 Fed \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub0b4\ud3ec\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 1\uac1c\uc6d4\ubb3c \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 9.5% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uae09\ub4f1)\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub4f1 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Trading Strategies For Emerging Scenarios<\/h3>\n<p>BOJ\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138(\uc989 USD\/JPY \ud558\ub77d) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc73c\ub85c 20\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc778 159.77\uc744 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub808\ubca8\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \ube60\ub978 \uccad\uc0b0(\uc5b8\uc640\uc778\ub4dc)\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 158.60\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2e8\uae30 \ucd94\uc138\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc774\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 Fed\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc904 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ud658\uc728\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 160.73(\ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 161.00\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\ubc29\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \uccad\uc0b0\uc740 USD\/JPY \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774\uc81c \uc8fc\uc694 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 BOJ\uac00 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ud68c\ud588\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\ub4e4\uc5d0\uc11c\ucc98\ub7fc, \uccad\uc0b0\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \ud50c\ub798\uc2dc \ud06c\ub798\uc2dc\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uae09\ubcc0\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub420 \uc18c\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\uba74\uc11c \uc5d4\ud654\ub97c \ucc28\uc785\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd98\ub2e4. 160.00 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud48b\uacfc \ucf5c \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c\uc57d\uc815(open interest)\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub418\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124(risk reversal) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub4f1 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ucd94\uc138\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub418, \uc2ec\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc73c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \uc790\ubcf8\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BOJ 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc5d4\ud654 \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1, \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 160.25\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. Fed \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d \uc6cc\uc2dc \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. 159.77 \uc774\ud0c8 \ub550 158.60, 160.73 \ub3cc\ud30c\uba74 161.00.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47673,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48843"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48843\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48843"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}