{"id":48838,"date":"2026-06-16T09:23:58","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T09:23:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdecb-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T09:23:58","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T09:23:58","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdecb-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-eur-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdecb-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 EUR\/USD \ud558\ub77d\u2026ECB \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uc9c0\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c 1.1580\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 99.75\uc120 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.50%~3.75% \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c 4\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc5f0 8\ud68c \uc815\ub840\ud68c\uc758\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\uba70, \uc644\uc804\uace0\uc6a9\uacfc 2% \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ucd94\uad6c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \ub54c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \uc131\uba85 \ubb38\uad6c\uc758 \u2018\ud1a4\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uace0\ubca0\ud0c0 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc73c\ub098, EUR\/USD \uc790\uccb4\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\uac70\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 20\uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA) 1.1599\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uace0, 1.1849\uc5d0\uc11c \uadf8\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 44 \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 1.1409\uc758 \uc885\uc804 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \uc57d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 1.1600\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 1.1687, 1.1849\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.1506\uacfc 1.1409\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac EUR\/USD\ub294 1.0850\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc804\ud558\uba70 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc870\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 ECB \uac04\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud604 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec \uc8fc\uc81c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.75%~5.00% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\uba70, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 90% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc18c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc774\uc804 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc800\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 ECB\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc5bb\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc870\ud654\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(HICP)\ub294 3.1%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc5d0 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc\uc758 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub300\ube44\uac00 EUR\/USD\ub97c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5b4\ub450\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(IV)\uc744 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \ud558\ud68c\uc640 RSI\uac00 50 \uc911\ub9bd\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ucde8\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uce21\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc8fc\ub3c4\uad8c\uc744 \uc958 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218) \uad6c\ucd95\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 1.0800 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 RSI\uac00 50 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uc744 \ub54c, \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc7a6\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud0d3\uc5d0 \ud604\uae08\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4(cash-secured put)\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\ud569\ud55c \ub300\uc548\uc740 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc644\ud654 \uc804\ud658(pivot)\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc800\ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 FOMC \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026EUR\/USD 1.1580\ub300\ub85c \ubc00\ub824. \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960 90% \uc18d \u2018\ud1a4\u2019 \ubcc0\uc218. ECB \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud558\ub2e8 \ubc29\uc5b4, IV \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47737,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48838\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}