{"id":48807,"date":"2026-06-16T02:53:40","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T02:53:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-boj-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-160%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T02:53:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T02:53:40","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-boj-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-160%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-boj-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%c2%b7%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-160%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, BOJ \ud68c\uc758\u00b7\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 160\uc5d4\ub300 \uc0c1\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 160.00\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \ucc44 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \uc218\uc2ed \ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1%\ub85c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 80%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub2e8\ud589\ub418\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \ud06c\uac8c \uc881\ud600\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 3.50%~3.75%\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc554\ubb35\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \uc57d 275bp\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70, \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc131\ub3c4 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc808\ucc28\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub840\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uac04 \uac10\uc5fc\uc73c\ub85c \uc785\uc6d0\ud55c \uc6b0\uc5d0\ub2e4 \uac00\uc988\uc624 BOJ \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \ud45c\uacb0\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc11d\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc11c\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \uc758\uacac\uc744 \uc81c\ucd9c\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 24\uc2dc\uac04 \ub4a4 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70, 5\uc6d4 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4\uc744 \uad50\uccb4\ud55c \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc8fc\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc758 \uccab \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>160.00\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \u2018\uc6a9\uc778 \ubc94\uc704\u2019\ub294 \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 2024\ub144\uacfc 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud574\ub2f9 \ub808\ubca8 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc130\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9e4\ubc88 160.00\uc120\uc744 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc774 \ub808\ubca8 \uc790\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \u2018\uc18d\ub3c4\u2019\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubbfc\uac10\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 Stoch RSI\ub294 87\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0, \uc2dc\uac04\ubd09\ub3c4 80 \uc548\ud30e\uc774\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc740 159.50 \ubd80\uadfc \uc870\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 159.00 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc911\uc778 50\uae30\uac04 EMA \uc704\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c \uc788\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 160.50 \uc800\ud56d, \uc774\uc5b4 161.00\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub418\uba70, 162.00\uc740 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub354 \ud070 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 160.00, \uc774\ud6c4 159.50\uacfc 159.00\uc774\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 5\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 1.4%~1.9% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc5ec \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc131 \ubc0f \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc624\ub298 BOJ \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 USD\/JPY\uac00 160.00\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 1%\ub85c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4, \uacb0\uc815 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\uafb8\uae34 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub300\ube44 320bp \uc774\uc0c1 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uce90\ub9ac \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub0b4\uc77c \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc2e0\uc784 \uc758\uc7a5 \uccb4\uc81c\uc758 Fed \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uce21 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ud55c \uce35 \ub354\ud55c\ub2e4. BOJ\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\ub294 \uc57d 275bp\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc20f(\ucc28\uc785 \ud1b5\ud654) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud604\uc2e4\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc CFTC \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud655\uc778\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc758 \u2018\uace0\ud1b5 \ud55c\uacc4\uce58\u2019\ub97c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \uacfc\uac70 160.00\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 162.00\uc120\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. 2024\ub144\uc758 \uacfc\uac70 \uac1c\uc785\uc740 2022\ub144\uc5d0 9\uc870 \uc5d4 \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ud22c\uc785\ud588\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\uc640 \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\ub85c \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc644\ucda9 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub9cc \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1(\uc2a4\ud30c\uc774\ud06c)\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc6b0\uc0c1\ud5a5(\uc2ac\ub85c\uc6b0 \uadf8\ub77c\uc778\ub4dc)\uc758 \ud615\ud0dc\uc600\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \ud589\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uae30\ub97c \uc8fc\uc800\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 48\uc2dc\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucee4\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \ud604\ubb3c(\uc2a4\ud3ff)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc815\uc758\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc8fc\uac04\ubb3c 161.00 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \uac00\uc838\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c0\uae09 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>BOJ \ub610\ub294 Fed\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub871 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 160.50 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uc740 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae34\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uae68\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc21c\uc218\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 160\uc5d4 \uc0c1\ud68c, BOJ 6\uc6d4 1% \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc120\ubc18\uc601. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 275bp\ub85c \uce90\ub9ac \uc720\ud6a8, \uc5d4 \uc20f \uacfc\uc5f4. 162\uc5d4 \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4, BOJ\u00b7Fed \uc5f0\uc1c4 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47838,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48807\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47838"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}