{"id":48803,"date":"2026-06-16T01:53:45","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T01:53:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%97%94\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T01:53:45","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T01:53:45","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%97%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%97%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\uc720\uac00\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 BoJ\u00b7RBA \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc57d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 10\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 99.70\uc120 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc804 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uc8fc\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc5f0\uacb0\ud574 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc81c\uc7ac \uc644\ud654\ub294 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud78c \uc601\ud5a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1580\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4\uac00 1.1620\uc120 \uc778\uadfc \uc800\ud56d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub418\ubc00\ub9ac\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub420\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \ubc0f \uc789\uae00\ub79c\ub4dc\uc740\ud589(BoE) \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1.3410\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ) \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5d4\ud654(JPY) \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825 \ubd80\uc7ac\ub85c 160.40\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 0.7070\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc57d 4% \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 81.50\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc130\uace0, \uae08\uc740 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 4,320\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uac70\uc2dc \uc77c\uc815\ub3c4 \ube7d\ube7d\ud558\ub2e4. \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4, \uc77c\ubcf8 BoJ \uacb0\uc815 \ubc0f \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0, \ud638\uc8fc RBA \uacb0\uc815, \ub3c5\uc77c CPI\u00b7ZEW, \ubbf8\uad6d ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc601\uad6d CPI\u00b7PPI\u00b7RPI, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uacb0\uc815, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc GDP\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(SNB) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc0f \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815, \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 BoE \uacb0\uc815, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218 \ubc0f \ud544\ub77c\ub378\ud53c\uc544 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc9c0\uc218, \uc77c\ubcf8 CPI\uc640 BoJ \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c PPI, \uc601\uad6d\u00b7\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub41c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c \ud575\uc2ec \ud14c\ub9c8\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uacfc \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc624\ub298, \uc774\uc5b4 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc789\uae00\ub79c\ub4dc\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub300\uae30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\uace0 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\ub97c \uaddc\uc815\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 99.70\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138(\uc18c\ud3ed \ube44\ub4dc)\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub098, \ud575\uc2ec \ucd09\ub9e4\ub294 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc218\uc694\uc77c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 70% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2e0\uaddc \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1620\uc120 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB\uac00 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uae30\ub97c \uc8fc\uc800\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.7%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098, ECB\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc815\ucc45 \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \u2018\uc778\ub0b4\u2019\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb38\ub2e4\uba74 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud55c \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>USD\/JPY\uac00 160.40\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc2ec\ud654\ub41c \uc810\uc740 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc2dc\uae30\ub294 2022~2023\ub144\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc758 \uad6c\ub450\u00b7\uc2e4\uac1c\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uae5c\uc9dd \ubcc0\ud654 \ub610\ub294 \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uace0\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 USD\/JPY\uc758 \uc2ec\uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud1b5\ud654\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc0f \uc789\uae00\ub79c\ub4dc\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uad00\ub9dd\uc138\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804 CPI\uac00 2.3%\ub85c BoE \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ucf54\uba58\ud2b8\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uac00 \ud604 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. WTI\uac00 81.50\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 4% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub4a4\uc9d1\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub4f1 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294(defined-risk) \uc804\ub7b5 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 4,320\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub77c\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158 \ud0d3\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud574, \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc790\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uac00 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae08\uc77c RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. AUD\/USD \uc775\uc77c\ubb3c(\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8) \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uae30\uc874 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc7a6\uc544\ub4e0 \ub4a4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \u2018\ub4dc\ub9ac\ud504\ud2b8\u2019\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud55c \ub2e4\uc74c \uc2e0\uaddc \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc288\ud37c\uc704\ud06c\u201d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\ubcf4: \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 99.70 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc18d \uc5f0\uc900 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 70%\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218. \uc720\ub85c\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uad00\ub9dd, \uc5d4 160.40 \uc57d\uc138. 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