{"id":48790,"date":"2026-06-15T22:23:21","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T22:23:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95\/"},"modified":"2026-06-15T22:23:21","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T22:23:21","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uacf5\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uc790 \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY)\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ) \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 5\uc6d4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.1% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(0.3%)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c1\uc804\uce58\uc600\ub358 0.9% \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc57d\ud654\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ub274\uc695 \uc5e0\ud30c\uc774\uc5b4\uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub294\ub370, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 5.7\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(14)\uc640 5\uc6d4(19.6)\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 BoJ\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.75%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.00%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\uba70, USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4(\ud1a4)\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc740 160.07\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, 100\uae30\uac04 \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) 159.78 \uc704\ub97c \uc9c0\ud0a4\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8 20\uae30\uac04 SMA 160.29 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 45 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 160.03, 159.99, 159.89\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 160.16 \ubc0f 160.29 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>BOJ \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub9b0 \uc2dc\uc120<\/h3>\n<p>\ub0b4\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1.00%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud558\uac8c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, OIS(\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 85%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9c4\uc9dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub420 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc62c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud2b9\ud788 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc758 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \ud558\ud68c \ub4f1 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \uc57d\ud654\ub294 USD\/JPY \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218\uac00 24\ub9cc5,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \uc2a4\uba70\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uae34\ucd95\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\u2019\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 USD\/JPY \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 158.50, \ub9cc\uae30 7\uc6d4 \ud558\uc21c(7\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ub9cc\uae30)\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc BoJ\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc2dc \uc7a0\uc7ac \uc218\uc775 \uac04 \uade0\ud615\uc774 \uc591\ud638\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc635\uc158 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \u201c\uc18c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ud310\ub2e4(buy the rumor, sell the fact)\u201d \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\ub294 \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub110\ub9ac \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc720\uc0ac \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. BoJ\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc900\ub2e4\uba74 USD\/JPY\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc591\uadf9\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 BoJ \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30(\uc8fc \ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30)\uc758 ATM(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ud604\ubb3c\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c) \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub4dc\ub9ac\ube10 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub77c\ub294 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \ud22c\uc790 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \ub9c9 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc6b0\ud638 \uc694\uc778(\ub871\ud140 \ud14c\uc77c\uc708\ub4dc)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\u00b7\uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138, \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc18\ub4f1. USD\/JPY 160\uc120 \uacf5\ubc29 \uc18d BoJ \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1(\ud655\ub960 85%)\uacfc \ud1a4\uc774 \ubd84\uae30\uc810. \ud48b\u00b7\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\ub85c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47834,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48790"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48790\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47834"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}