{"id":48782,"date":"2026-06-15T20:22:38","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T20:22:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%a4%eb%b9%84%ea%b0%80%eb%8f%99%eb%a5%a0-5%ec%9b%94-76-2%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d\/"},"modified":"2026-06-15T20:22:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T20:22:38","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%a4%eb%b9%84%ea%b0%80%eb%8f%99%eb%a5%a0-5%ec%9b%94-76-2%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%a4%eb%b9%84%ea%b0%80%eb%8f%99%eb%a5%a0-5%ec%9b%94-76-2%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960 5\uc6d4 76.2%\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc740 76.2%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\ub2e4. \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc740 \uacf5\uc7a5\u00b7\uad11\uc0b0\u00b7\uc720\ud2f8\ub9ac\ud2f0\uac00 \uc7a0\uc7ac \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825 \ub300\ube44 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uac00\ub3d9\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uae30\ub300\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \u2018\uccb4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u2019 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>5\uc6d4 76.2%\ub77c\ub294 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc720\ud734(slack)\uc640 \uac00\ub3d9 \ubd80\ub2f4(operating pressure)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \ud3c9\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uac00 \uc5c6\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc81c\uc57d\uacfc \uac00\uaca9 \uacb0\uc815\ub825\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uae30\uc900\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5 \ubc0f \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>5\uc6d4 \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c 76.2%\uc5d0 \uc815\ud655\ud788 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud070 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc904 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \u201c\uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubd95\uad34 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\uc874 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>76.2%\ub294 1972~2023\ub144 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0(\uc57d 80%)\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ud3ed \ud558\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ud734\uac00 \uaf64 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.1%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \ub354\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ud55c\uce35 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub3d9\uc548 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0(hold)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad11\ubc94\uc704 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. VIX\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uc740 14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, S&#038;P 500\uc744 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ucda9\uaca9\ub9cc \uc5c6\ub2e4\uba74 \uc218\uc775 \ucc3d\ucd9c\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud568\uc73c\ub85c\uc368, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac \ucd09\ub9e4 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \uc81c\uac70\ub41c \uc148\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME FedWatch\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 60%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c TLT \uac19\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 ETF \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ud558\ub77d(\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \u2018\uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc139\ud130 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ubc0f \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc740 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\u00b7\uc18c\uc7ac \uc139\ud130\uc758 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825 \uac00\ub3d9\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2e4\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac ETF\uc778 Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLI) \ub4f1\uc5d0\uc11c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc139\ud130\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud574\ubcfc \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae30\uc874 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub418, \ub2e4\uc74c \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub300\uc751 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uc5c6\ub358 76.2%\u201d 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654. \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 \ud558\ud68c\ub85c \uc720\ud734 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300 \uac15\ud654. \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac \uac15\uc138\uc5d4 \uc2e0\uc911.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47721,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48782","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uc5c6\ub358 76.2%\u201d 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654. \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 \ud558\ud68c\ub85c \uc720\ud734 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300 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76.2%\u201d 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654. \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 \ud558\ud68c\ub85c \uc720\ud734 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300 \uac15\ud654. \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac \uac15\uc138\uc5d4 \uc2e0\uc911.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%a4%eb%b9%84%ea%b0%80%eb%8f%99%eb%a5%a0-5%ec%9b%94-76-2%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-15T20:22:38+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-15T20:22:38+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc124\ube44\uac00\ub3d9\ub960 5\uc6d4 76.2%\ub85c 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