{"id":48766,"date":"2026-06-15T15:52:44","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T15:52:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-aud-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%84%b8-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80rba%c2%b7fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-06-15T15:52:44","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T15:52:44","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-aud-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%84%b8-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80rba%c2%b7fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-aud-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%84%b8-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80rba%c2%b7fed-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 AUD\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138 \uc720\uc9c0\u2026RBA\u00b7Fed \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uad00\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 10\uc77c \uace0\uc810\uc778 0.7090\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ub418\ub3cc\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 0.7070 \uc548\ud30e, \uc774\ud6c4 0.7072\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc740 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654\ud611\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud574 \uc704\ud5d8\ubbfc\uac10 \ud1b5\ud654\uc778 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc77c\uc815\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ud638\uc8fc\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\uc120 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 \uc911\uc0c1\ub2e8 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 MACD\ub294 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc601\uc5ed\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7090 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 50% \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc, \uc774\uc5b4 0.7113 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 61.8% \uc218\uc900, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 6\uc6d4 4~5\uc77c \uace0\uc810\uacfc 78.6% \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\ub294 0.7145 \uc77c\ub300\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.7060 \ubc0f 0.7050 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud558\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc800\uc810 0.7020\uacfc 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778 0.6980\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Fundamental Drivers And Volatility Outlook<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654\ud611\uc815\uc740 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc644\ud654(\ub514\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud0b9) \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub85c, \uc131\uc7a5 \ubbfc\uac10 \ud1b5\ud654\uc778 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd08\uae30 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c 0.7090\uae4c\uc9c0 \uce58\uace0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac04 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc RBA\uc640 Fed\uac00 \ubaa8\ub450 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc5ec\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c 0.7100\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub454 AUD\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub3cc\ud30c \ub7a0\ub9ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc9c0\uae09 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c8 Fed \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(\uc644\ud654\uc801) \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4\ub97c \ub192\uc774\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 3.7%\ub85c \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 RBA\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub0a8\uacbc\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc740 \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc774 16\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub3fc, Fed\uac00 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ucde8\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Option Strategies And Historical Context<\/h3>\n<p>\uac15\uc138 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc5b4\ub290 \ud55c\ucabd \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub9cc\ud55c \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \uc0c1\uc874\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 0.7050 \ucd94\uc138\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub97c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ub454 \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 Fed\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ucf54\uba58\ud2b8 \ub610\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 RBA \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc131\uba85\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD\uc758 1\uc8fc\ubb3c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc57d 9.5% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\uc2f8\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 0.7145 \uc800\ud56d\ub300\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218+\uc0c1\ub2e8 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4)\ub3c4 \ubcd1\ud589 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacfc\uac70 2022~2023\ub144\uc744 \ub418\uc9da\uc5b4\ubcf4\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 RBA\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 Fed\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc778\uc2dd\ud560 \ub54c AUD\/USD\uac00 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ub7a0\ub9ac\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub3fc RBA\uac00 \ud655\uace0\ud55c \ub3d9\uacb0(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4 \uc720\uc9c0)\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\uace0 Fed\uac00 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294\uc9c0 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc8fc\uac04, AUD\/USD \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub6f8\uae4c? 0.7090\uc11c \uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\u00b7\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uac15\uc138 \uc720\uc9c0. RBA\u00b7Fed \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2191, 0.7145 \uc800\ud56d\u00b70.7050 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9. \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47830,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48766"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48766\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47830"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}