{"id":48757,"date":"2026-06-15T12:52:42","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T12:52:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/bbh-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98%ec%a0%81-%ec%9a%94%ec%9d%b8%ea%b3%bc-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95%eb%b0%9b\/"},"modified":"2026-06-15T12:52:42","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T12:52:42","slug":"bbh-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98%ec%a0%81-%ec%9a%94%ec%9d%b8%ea%b3%bc-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95%eb%b0%9b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/bbh-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98%ec%a0%81-%ec%9a%94%ec%9d%b8%ea%b3%bc-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95%eb%b0%9b\/","title":{"rendered":"BBH, \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uacfc \uc601\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uac00 \uc555\ubc15\ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ube0c\ub77c\uc6b4 \ube0c\ub77c\ub354\uc2a4 \ud574\ub9ac\uba3c(Brown Brothers Harriman, BBH)\uc740 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BOE)\uc774 \ub124 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc5f0\uc18d \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate)\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 7\ub300 2\ub85c \uac08\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 4\uc6d4 30\uc77c \ud68c\uc758 \ub2f9\uc2dc 8\ub300 1\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ub418\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4. BBH\ub294 \uba54\uac74 \uadf8\ub9b0(Megan Greene)\uc774 \ud734 \ud544(Huw Pill)\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \ud569\ub958\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 11\uc6d4 \uccab 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc601\uad6d \ub300\ube44 \ub354 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\ud558\uc5d0 GBP\/USD\uac00 1.3100\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc815\uce58\ub3c4 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uba54\uc774\ucee4\ud544\ub4dc(Makerfield) \ubcf4\uad90\uc120\uac70\ub97c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ud558\uba70, \uc5ec\ub860\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc564\ub514 \ubc88\ud584(Andy Burnham)\uc774 \ub9ac\ud3fc UK(Reform UK)\ub97c 3~12%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc55e\uc11c\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\ub294 \uc758\ud68c \ubcf5\uadc0 \ubc0f \ud0a4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38(Keir Starmer) \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ub2f9\ub0b4 \ub9ac\ub354\uc2ed \ub3c4\uc804 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub418\uba70, \ubc88\ud584 \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc9c0\ucd9c \ubc0f \ucc28\uc785 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \ud6fc\uc190\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>UK Outlook and Policy Challenges<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 3.1%\ub85c \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c \uc2f8\uc6c0\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc815\uccb4\uc640 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc740\ud589\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uae34\ucd95\ud574\uc57c \ud588\ub358 2023~2024\ub144\uc758 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uae30\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c \ub290\uaef4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uc601\uad6d \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub354 \ud0c4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc640 \ub69c\ub837\uc774 \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc 2.2%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c \ubc18\uba74 \uc601\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 0.2%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ud604\uc7ac 1.2550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 GBP\/USD\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud55c \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2f9\uc0ac \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc778 1.2200\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Political Risks and GBP\/USD Strategy<\/h3>\n<p>\uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \uc7ac\ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uac00\uc18d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac00\uc744 \uc608\uc0b0\uc548(Autumn Statement)\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc815\ubd80 \uc608\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ucd9c \ud655\ub300 \ub610\ub294 \uc7ac\uc6d0 \uc5c6\ub294 \uac10\uc138(unfunded tax cuts) \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ud574\ub2f9 \uacac\ud574\ub97c \ud45c\ud604\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c GBP\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 9\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.2300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud48b\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub098?\u201d BBH\ub294 BOE \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0(7\ub3002) \uc18d 11\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ubc18\uc601, \u7f8e\uc131\uc7a5 \uc6b0\uc704\u00b7\uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c GBP\/USD 1.22~1.31 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131, \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218 \uc81c\uc548.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48757"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48757\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}