{"id":48754,"date":"2026-06-15T11:54:13","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T11:54:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-0-7950%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%b1%84%eb%84%90%ec%9d%80-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-ema-%eb%a0%88\/"},"modified":"2026-06-15T11:54:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T11:54:13","slug":"usd-chf-0-7950%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%b1%84%eb%84%90%ec%9d%80-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-ema-%eb%a0%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/usd-chf-0-7950%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%b1%84%eb%84%90%ec%9d%80-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%8d%94%eb%93%a4-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-ema-%eb%a0%88\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, 0.7950\uc120 \ud558\ud68c\u2026\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucc44\ub110\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4 \ud575\uc2ec EMA \ub808\ubca8 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \uc57d 0.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 0.7930 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc77c\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucc44\ub110 \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc740 0.7950 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc549\uc558\uace0 9\uc77c EMA\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c, 50\uc77c EMA \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uae30\ub294 \ud558\ub098 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc870\uc815\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. 14\uc77c RSI\ub294 \ud55c \uce21\uc815\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c 54 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2e4\ub978 \uce21\uc815\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 60 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub294\ub370, \ub450 \uc218\uce58 \ubaa8\ub450 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uae0d\uc815 \uc601\uc5ed\u2019\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc694 \ub808\ubca8\uc740 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uacfc \ucc44\ub110 \uacbd\uacc4\uc5d0 \ucd18\ucd18\ud788 \ubab0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc 9\uc77c EMA(0.7942)\uac00 1\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 3\uc6d4 31\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 0.8042\uc640 \ucc44\ub110 \uc0c1\ub2e8 0.8060\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 2025\ub144 8\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ud615\uc131\ub41c \uadfc 1\ub144 \uace0\uc810 0.8171\ub85c\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucc44\ub110 \ud558\ub2e8\ubd80 0.7920\uc774 1\ucc28 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c, \uc774\uc5b4 50\uc77c EMA(0.7881)\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc 5\uc6d4 8\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 0.7761\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Technical Overview and Upside Strategy<\/h3>\n<p>USD\/CHF\ub294 0.7950 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucc44\ub110 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\ubcc0\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc774 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc7ac\uac1c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ud604 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub354 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ub808\ubca8\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc9c4\uc785 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 30~45\uc77c \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 0.8000 \ubd80\uadfc \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 0.8042 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc640 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uad6d\ub9bd\uc740\ud589(SNB) \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. SNB\ub294 2024\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1.25%\ub85c \uc778\ud558\ud558\uba70 \uc644\ud654\uc801(\ub3c4\ube44\uc2dc) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.3% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 Fed\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac(higher for longer)\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ucc44\ub110 \ud558\ub2e8 0.7920 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 1\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 0.8042\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub808\ubca8\uc744 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \ucc44\ub110 \uc0c1\ub2e8 0.8060 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \uc77c\ub2e8 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uba74 \uc218 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Risk Management and Alternative Scenarios<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubd95\uad34 \uc2dc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\ub294 \ud544\uc218\ub2e4. 50\uc77c EMA(0.7881) \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\uc740 \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub871 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubaa9\uc801 \ub610\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \ub300\uc751\uc73c\ub85c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 0.7761\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e8\uae30(9\uc77c)\uc640 \uc911\uae30(50\uc77c) \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc555\ucd95\ub418\ub294 \ud604 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 \ucd95\uc801\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ud6a8\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF 0.7930\ub300\ub85c 0.5% \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ucc44\ub110 \uc720\uc9c0. 0.7920 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778 \uc2dc 0.8042\u21920.8060 \uc7ac\ub3c4\uc804, 0.7881 \ubd95\uad34 \ub550 0.7761 \uacbd\uacc4. 0.80 \ucf5c \uc720\ub9dd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47723,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48754","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48754"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48754\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47723"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48754"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48754"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48754"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}