{"id":48355,"date":"2026-03-04T12:43:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T12:43:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%82%bc%ea%b0%81%ed%98%95-%ed%8c%a8%ed%84%b4%ec%9d%b4-%eb%b6%95%ea%b4%b4%eb%90%9c-%ed%9b%84-%ec%96%b4%eb%8f%84%eb%b9%84%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-5%ed%8c%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T12:43:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T12:43:33","slug":"%ec%82%bc%ea%b0%81%ed%98%95-%ed%8c%a8%ed%84%b4%ec%9d%b4-%eb%b6%95%ea%b4%b4%eb%90%9c-%ed%9b%84-%ec%96%b4%eb%8f%84%eb%b9%84%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-5%ed%8c%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%82%bc%ea%b0%81%ed%98%95-%ed%8c%a8%ed%84%b4%ec%9d%b4-%eb%b6%95%ea%b4%b4%eb%90%9c-%ed%9b%84-%ec%96%b4%eb%8f%84%eb%b9%84%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-5%ed%8c%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc0bc\uac01\ud615 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub41c \ud6c4, \uc5b4\ub3c4\ube44\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 5\ud30c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 240\uc120\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc5b4\ub3c4\ube44(Adobe) \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 **\uc0bc\uac01\ud615 \ud328\ud134(triangle pattern)**\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8(\ud558\ub77d \ub3cc\ud30c)\ud55c \ub4a4 \uacc4\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 **5\ud30c \ud558\ub77d(fifth-wave decline)**\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub418\uba70, \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc0bc\uac01\ud615\uc758 \ub192\uc774\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc778 **240**\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uc0bc\uac01\ud615 \ud328\ud134**: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc810\uc810 \uc881\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub2e4\uac00, \uc5b4\ub290 \uc21c\uac04 \uc704\ub098 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ucc28\ud2b8 \ubaa8\uc591.  \n&#8211; **\uc774\ud0c8(\ub3cc\ud30c)**: \uadf8 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uba70 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \ud655\uc2e4\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784.  \n&#8211; **5\ud30c \ud558\ub77d**: \ud30c\ub3d9(\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud070 \ud750\ub984)\uc744 1~5\ubc88\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ub220 \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04.\n\n\uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc548\uc815(\uba48\ucda4) \uad6c\uac04\uc740 **240 \uadfc\ucc98**\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc544\uc9c1 **\uc800\uc810(\ubc14\ub2e5)**\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub41c \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. **\uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc800\uc810**\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ud280\uc5b4 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uba70, **311 \uc704\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784**\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uc800\uc810 \ud655\uc778**: \u201c\uc5ec\uae30\uac00 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ub9d0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \uac15\ud55c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774\ub098 \ucd94\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\uc624\ub294 \uac83.  \n&#8211; **\uac15\ud55c(\ucda9\uaca9\ud30c\/\ucd94\uc9c4) \ubc18\ub4f1(impulsive rebound)**: \ud798\uc774 \uc2e4\ub9b0 \ube60\ub978 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c, \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1.\n\n\ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uba70, **2019\ub144 \uc800\uc810\uc778 205**\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc2dc\ud5d8(\uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8)\ud560 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c **205\u2013230 \uad6c\uac04**\uc740 \uc62c\ud574\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec **\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04(\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc601\uc5ed)**\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04**: \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc640 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub358 \uac00\uaca9\ub300.  \n&#8211; **\uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8(retest)**: \uc608\uc804\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc600\ub358 \uac00\uaca9\ub300\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub0b4\ub824\uc640 \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815.\n\n\ub354 \uae34 \uae30\uac04(\uc0c1\uc704 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300) \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 **C\ud30c(wave C)**\uac00 \ud6c4\ubc18\ubd80\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\uc870\uc815 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074(\uad50\uc815\/\uc870\uc815 \uad6c\uac04)**\uc774 **205\u2013230 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04** \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \ub05d\ub098\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **C\ud30c**: \ud070 \uc870\uc815 \ud750\ub984\uc744 A-B-C\ub85c \ub098\ub220 \ubcfc \ub54c \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ud558\ub77d(\ub610\ub294 \uc870\uc815) \ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\ub294 \uad6c\uac04.  \n&#8211; **\uc870\uc815 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074**: \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138 \uc911(\ub610\ub294 \uc774\ud6c4) \uacfc\uc5f4\uc744 \uc2dd\ud788\uba70 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uac70\ub098 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uac04.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(put options)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc2dc\uac04\uc744 \uc8fc\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **2026\ub144 4\uc6d4\u00b75\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30**\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uace0, **240 \ubd80\uadfc \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike)**\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \ubcf4\uc0c1\uc758 \uade0\ud615\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub098\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uc0bc\uac01\ud615 \ud558\ub77d \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0\uc11c \uacc4\uc0b0\ub41c \ucd08\uae30 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uac00 240\uc774\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\ud48b\uc635\uc158**: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00)\uc73c\ub85c \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac. \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uc8fc\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\ub9cc\uae30(expiration)**: \uc635\uc158 \uad8c\ub9ac\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\ub294 \ub0a0\uc9dc.  \n&#8211; **\ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike)**: \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uace0\ud314\uae30\ub85c \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9.\n\n\ubc14\ub2e5 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \ud575\uc2ec \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \ubcc0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. **311 \uc800\ud56d\uc120(resistance) \uc704\ub85c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784**\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74, \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc800\uc810\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uccab \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\uc624\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294, **\ud558\ub77d \uad00\uc810\uc758 \uc9c4\uc785 \uae30\ud68c**\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uc800\ud56d\uc120**: \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub9c9\ud614\ub358 \uac00\uaca9\ub300.\n\n\uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \uc5b4\ub3c4\ube44 \uc635\uc158\uc758 **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility)**\uc740 **90\uc77c \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 42%**\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\ub2e4. \ub354 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c4 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4)\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear put spread)**\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 **5\uc6d4 250 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218**\ud558\uace0 **5\uc6d4 230 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4**\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc815\ud574 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud5a5\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**: \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \u201c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\u201d\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uac12. \ub192\uc744\uc218\ub85d \uc635\uc158\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4**: \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9(\uad6c\ub9e4 \ube44\uc6a9).  \n&#8211; **\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc**: \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305 \uc804\ub7b5. \ub300\uc2e0 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc774\uc775\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5b4\ub3c4\ube44 \uc8fc\uac00, \uc0bc\uac01\ud615 \uc774\ud0c8 \ud6c4 5\ud30c \ud558\ub77d \uc9c0\uc18d\u2014240 \ubaa9\ud45c \uadfc\uc811. 205~230\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0, 311 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d\uc138 \uc6b0\uc704. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 42%\ub85c \ud48b\u00b7\ubca0\uc5b4\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48355","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48355","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48355"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48355\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48355"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48355"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48355"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}