{"id":48340,"date":"2026-03-04T08:44:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T08:44:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87-%ed%8c%8c%eb%8f%99-%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-spx%eb%8a%94-1%ed%8c%8c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%99%84%eb%a3%8c%ed%96%88%ea%b3%a0-2%ed%8c%8c%ec%97%90\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T08:44:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T08:44:02","slug":"%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87-%ed%8c%8c%eb%8f%99-%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-spx%eb%8a%94-1%ed%8c%8c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%99%84%eb%a3%8c%ed%96%88%ea%b3%a0-2%ed%8c%8c%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87-%ed%8c%8c%eb%8f%99-%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-spx%eb%8a%94-1%ed%8c%8c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%99%84%eb%a3%8c%ed%96%88%ea%b3%a0-2%ed%8c%8c%ec%97%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 SPX\ub294 1\ud30c\ub97c \uc644\ub8cc\ud588\uace0 2\ud30c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uac70\uce5c \ub4a4 3\ud30c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ub2e8\uae30 **\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9(Elliott Wave, \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \u2018\ud30c\ub3d9\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ub220 \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc220 \ubd84\uc11d \ubc29\ubc95)** \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 28\uc77c\uc758 7002.28\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c **1\ud30c(wave 1, \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138 \ud30c\ub3d9)**\uac00 \uc644\ub8cc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 21\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \ub4a4\ub97c \uc787\ub294 **\uc870\uc815 2\ud30c(wave 2, 1\ud30c \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \ud30c\ub3d9)**\ub294 \ub300\ub7b5 6712 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub05d\ub09c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n1\ud30c \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c **((w))\ud30c(\uc870\uc815 \uc548\uc758 \uccab \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04)**\uac00 6780.13\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \ub4a4, **((x))\ud30c(\uc911\uac04 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uad6c\uac04)**\uac00 6993.48\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 **((y))\ud30c(\ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04)**\uac00 6712.08\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 **\ub354\ube14 \uc4f0\ub9ac(double three, \u2018\uc138 \uad6c\uac04\u2019\uc9dc\ub9ac \uc870\uc815 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ub450 \ubc88 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ubcf5\ud569 \uc870\uc815)** \ud615\ud0dc\uc758 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uacfc \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc815\ub82c<\/h3>\n6712.08 \uc800\uc810\uc740 ((w))\ud30c\uc758 **\ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ud655\uc7a5(Fibonacci extension, \uc774\uc804 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \uae38\uc774\ub97c \ube44\uc728\ub85c \ub298\ub824 \ubaa9\ud45c \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95)** 100%\u2013161.8% \uad6c\uac04\uacfc \uacb9\uce58\uba70, \uce21\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\ub294 6629\u20136768\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 **\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04(support zone, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \uc798 \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud6c4\ubcf4 \uc601\uc5ed)**\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc774\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 **3\ud30c(wave 3, \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138 \ud30c\ub3d9)**\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub354 \ud070 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub05d\ub0ac\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub824\uba74 7002.28\uc744 \uc704\ub85c \ub6ab\ub294 **\uc0c1\ubc29 \ub3cc\ud30c(break above, \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uba70 \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658\/\uc9c0\uc18d\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)**\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \ub354 \ud070 \uc870\uc815 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ubd84\uc11d\uc740 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c **\uc0ac\uc774\ud074(cycle, \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uae34 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\/\ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984)**\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \ud6c4\ubc18\ubd80\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc5b8\uc81c\ub4e0 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 6712.08 **\ud53c\ubc97(pivot, \ubc29\ud5a5 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc4f0\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uaca9)**\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 S&P 500\uc740 6712\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc870\uc815 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c8\uce5c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac00\uaca9\ub300\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\ud30c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad00\uc810**\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n

\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2e4\ud589\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8 \ud1b5\uc81c<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **ATM(near-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \u2018\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\u2019)**\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098, **\ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804\ub7b5)**\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 1\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 7002.28(1\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uace0\uc810) \ubd80\uadfc \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uadf8 \uc704\ub85c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 **\ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4(\uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc21c\ube44\uc6a9)**\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud6c4\ubc18\ubd80\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\ub728\ub9ac\uba70 \uc774 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 19\ub9cc 5\ucc9c \uac1c\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 **\uac74\uac15\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub294 \uc218\uc900**\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub410\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 **CPI(Consumer Price Index, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 2.8%\ub85c \ub098\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uace0, **\uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uc774 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc92c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 **\uc120\ubb3c(futures, \ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc810\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)**\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec \ud6c4\ubc18 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c **\ub3d9\uacb0(hold steady, \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0)**\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 90% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc548\uc815\uc740 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub098\uc058\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. 75%\uac00 \ub118\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc774\uc775 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \uc774 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4\uc774 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 **\uc21c\ud48d(tailwind, \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud658\uacbd)**\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5c4\uaca9\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8 \uad00\ub9ac\ub294 \ud544\uc218\uc774\uba70, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9\uc740 6712.08 \ud53c\ubc97\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uae68\uba74 \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \ubb34\ud6a8\uac00 \ub418\uace0, \uae30\uc874 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub354 \uae4a\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc77c\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ube68\ub9ac \uc815\ub9ac\ud558\uace0, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option, \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc73c\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0)\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub354 \uac15\ud558\uace0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud655\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 7002.28 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc704\ub85c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 **\ud2b8\ub9ac\uac70(trigger, \ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900 \uc2e0\ud638)**\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub3cc\ud30c\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud655\uc2e0\uc73c\ub85c **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives, \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488: \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1)**\uc758 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub298\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub3cc\ud30c \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc804\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

S&P500, 6712 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2e0\ud638! \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7\ud30c\ub3d9\uc0c1 2\ud30c \uc870\uc815\uc774 6712\uc5d0 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub418\uace0 3\ud30c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc720\ub825. 7002 \ub3cc\ud30c\uac00 \ud655\uc778\uc120, \ubd95\uad34 \uc2dc \ucf5c \uccad\uc0b0\u00b7\ud48b \ud5e4\uc9c0. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48340","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48340"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48340\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48340"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48340"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48340"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}