{"id":48192,"date":"2026-03-02T10:44:50","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:44:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ec%83%a4%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9d%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%98-%ec%97%87%ea%b0%88%eb%a6%b0-%ed%9d%90%eb%a6%84\/"},"modified":"2026-03-02T10:44:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:44:50","slug":"%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ec%83%a4%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9d%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%98-%ec%97%87%ea%b0%88%eb%a6%b0-%ed%9d%90%eb%a6%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ec%83%a4%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%a3%bc%ec%8b%9d%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%98-%ec%97%87%ea%b0%88%eb%a6%b0-%ed%9d%90%eb%a6%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uacfc \uc720\uac00\uc758 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \ud750\ub984 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 USD\/CAD \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec(CAD)\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \ub300\ube44 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd\uacfc \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uac00)\uc758 \ud63c\uc870 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\ubc45\ud06c(Scotiabank)\uc758 **\uac00\uce58\ud3c9\uac00(valuation: \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \u2018\uc801\uc815 \uac00\uce58\u2019\ub97c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95)**\uc640 **\ub2e8\uae30 \ubaa8\ub378(short-term model: \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc608\uce21 \ub3c4\uad6c)**\uc740 USD\/CAD\uac00 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 **\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(range trading: \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \uc704\u00b7\uc544\ub798 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984)**\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\ubb3c \ud658\uc728(spot: \uc9c0\uae08 \uc989\uc2dc \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uc728)\uc740 \uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\ubc45\ud06c\uc758 **\uc801\uc815\uac00\uce58 \ucd94\uc815\uce58(fair value estimate: \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \u2018\uc801\uc815 \uc218\uc900\u2019)**\uc778 1.3625\ub97c \uc57d\uac04 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uc740 \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \ubcc0\uc218\ub4e4(model inputs: \ud658\uc728\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub4e4)\uc774 \ucd94\uc138\uc801\uc73c\ub85c CAD\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, USD \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n1\uc8fc \uc804\ub9dd \ubaa8\ub378(week-ahead model: \ub2e4\uc74c 1\uc8fc \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ucd94\uc815)\uc740 **75% \uc2e0\ub8b0 \uc218\uc900(confidence: \uadf8 \ubc94\uc704\uac00 \ub9de\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131)**\uc5d0\uc11c 1.3581~1.3786\uc758 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\ubc45\ud06c\ub294 \uc704\ucabd\uc740 1.37 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(pair: \ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud658\uc728, \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c\ub294 USD\/CAD)\uc740 1.37 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 **\uc7a5\uae30 \uc800\ud56d(long-term resistance: \uc624\ub798\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\uc544\uc628 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)** \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\ubc45\ud06c\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 **\ucd94\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(trend support: \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubc1b\uccd0\uc8fc\ub358 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)**\uc744 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec **\ud5e4\ub4dc\uc564\uc204\ub354(Head &#038; Shoulders: \uace0\uc810\uc774 \u2018\uc5b4\uae68-\uba38\ub9ac-\uc5b4\uae68\u2019 \ubaa8\uc591\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ucc28\ud2b8 \ud328\ud134)** \ud558\ub77d \uc2e0\ud638(trigger: \ud328\ud134\uc774 \u2018\ud655\uc815\u2019\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uae30\uc900)\uac00 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc77c\uac04 DMI \ucd94\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \uc57d\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc USD \uc57d\uc138 \uc2e0\ud638 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9 \uc911\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac04\u00b7\uc6d4\uac04 DMI\ub294 USD \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ud655\uace0\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c\ub2e4. **DMI(Directional Movement Index: \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**, **\ubaa8\uba58\ud140(momentum: \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \ud798, \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825)**\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c(technical indicator: \uacfc\uac70 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\uc870 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0dd\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI(Consumer Price Index: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2.4%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uac04 \ub0ae\uc544 USD \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\ub728\ub838\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(jobs report: \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac10 \ub4f1\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc2e4\ub9dd\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 1\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac1c \ub298\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(2\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac1c)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc801\uc5b4 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\ub8e8\ub2c8, loonie: \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ubcc4\uce6d)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4.\n\n\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ub354\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, WTI \uc6d0\uc720\uac00\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 78\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub358 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubc84\ud300\ubaa9\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 COT(Commitment of Traders: \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud22c\uae30 \uc138\ub825\uc758 CAD **\uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(net-short: \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud558\ub77d) \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)**\uc774 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\ub85c \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc774 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n1.37\uc758 \u2018\ucc9c\uc7a5\u2019\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub77c\uba74, **\ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike price: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud574 \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)** 1.3750 \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money: \uc9c0\uae08 \ud658\uc728 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f9\uc7a5 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294)** \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uac70\ub098 **\ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread: \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\/\ud314\uc544 \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c \uad6c\uc870)**\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 **\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(premium: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \ub300\uac00)**\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba74\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc704\ub85c \ub6ab\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc774 \uc788\uc5b4 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uacfc \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \ubb36\uc5ec \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4\uba74, **\uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(iron condor: \uc704\ucabd\u00b7\uc544\ub798\ucabd\uc5d0 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud558\ub098\uc529 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5)**\ub294 **\ub0ae\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(low volatility: \uac00\uaca9 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc\uc774 \uc791\uc74c)**\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370 \uc801\ud569\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 1.3750 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud314\uace0, 1.3550 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud30c\ub294 \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \ub9cc\uae30(expiration: \uacc4\uc57d\uc774 \ub05d\ub098\ub294 \ub0a0)\uae4c\uc9c0 USD\/CAD\uac00 \uadf8 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub974\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub09c\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD 1.37 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub0d0, \ub610 \ub9c9\ud788\ub0d0? \uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\ubc45\ud06c\ub294 1.3581~1.3786 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub9dd. \ubbf8 CPI \ub454\ud654 vs \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubd80\uc9c4\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\u00b7CAD \uc20f \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc81c\uc2dc. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48192","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48192"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48192\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48192"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48192"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48192"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}