{"id":48123,"date":"2026-02-28T00:44:04","date_gmt":"2026-02-28T00:44:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%9c%a8%ea%b1%b0%ec%9a%b4-ppi%ec%97%90-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac%ea%b0%80-%ed%9d%94%eb%93%a4%eb%a6%ac%eb%a9%b0-%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%eb%8a%94-600%ed%8f%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%8a%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-02-28T00:44:04","modified_gmt":"2026-02-28T00:44:04","slug":"%eb%9c%a8%ea%b1%b0%ec%9a%b4-ppi%ec%97%90-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac%ea%b0%80-%ed%9d%94%eb%93%a4%eb%a6%ac%eb%a9%b0-%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%eb%8a%94-600%ed%8f%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%8a%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%9c%a8%ea%b1%b0%ec%9a%b4-ppi%ec%97%90-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac%ea%b0%80-%ed%9d%94%eb%93%a4%eb%a6%ac%eb%a9%b0-%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%eb%8a%94-600%ed%8f%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%8a%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub728\uac70\uc6b4 PPI\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba70 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 600\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 49,000\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uace0, S&#038;P\uc640 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 600\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(1.15%) \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838 \ub2e4\uc2dc 49,000 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. S&#038;P 500\uc740 \uc57d 0.7% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc885\ud569\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc57d 0.9% \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc9c0\ud45c, \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \uad00\ub828 \uc6b0\ub824, \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ucc28\uc775 \uc2e4\ud604(\uc774\uc775\uc744 \ud655\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub9e4\ub3c4)\ub85c 3\ub300 \uc9c0\uc218 \ubaa8\ub450 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS)\uc740 1\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uac70\ub098 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900)\uac00 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub294 0.3%\uc600\uace0, 12\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 0.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \uadfc\uc6d0 PPI(\uae30\ubcf8 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 0.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc608\uc0c1 0.3%)\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 PPI\ub294 2.9%, \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 3.6%\uc600\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc5ed \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ub9c8\uc9c4(\uc720\ud1b5\u00b7\uc911\uac1c \ub4f1 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0a8\uae30\ub294 \uc774\uc775 \ud3ed)\uc740 2.5% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00, \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9 \uc81c\uc678) \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 \ucd5c\uace0 0.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Fed Expectations Shift<\/h3>\nCME FedWatch(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\ub294 2026\ub144\uc5d0 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)\uc529 \uc57d \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 17\u201318\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%\u20133.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4. \ube14\ub85d(Block)\uc740 \uc9c1\uc6d0 4\ucc9c \uba85 \uc774\uc0c1 \uac10\ucd95\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ub4a4 23% \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc778\uc6d0\uc740 1\ub9cc \uba85 \ucd08\uacfc\uc5d0\uc11c 6\ucc9c \uba85 \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc870\uc815 EPS(EPS: \uc8fc\ub2f9\uc21c\uc774\uc775, \uc870\uc815\uc740 \uc77c\ud68c\uc131 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \ube7c \ube44\uad50\ud558\uae30 \uc27d\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0 \uc218\uce58)\ub294 0.65\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc740 62.5\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub9e4\ucd9c\ucd1d\uc774\uc775(\ub9e4\ucd9c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6d0\uac00\ub97c \ube80 \uc774\uc775)\uc740 28.7\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(+24%)\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc911 \uce90\uc2dc\uc571(Cash App) \ub9e4\ucd9c\ucd1d\uc774\uc775\uc740 33% \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub378(Dell)\uc740 \ub9e4\ucd9c 334\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 314.1\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 39% \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \ub370\ub2e4 AI \uc11c\ubc84 \uc8fc\ubb38 640\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 2027 \ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4 AI \uc11c\ubc84 \ub9e4\ucd9c 500\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd)\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uba74\uc11c 17.5% \uc62c\ub77c \uc57d 142\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ube44\ub514\uc544(Nvidia)\ub294 5.5% \ud558\ub77d \ub4a4 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c 2.5% \ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. \ucf54\uc5b4\uc704\ube0c(CoreWeave)\ub294 \uc218\uc8fc\uc794\uace0(\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ucd9c\ub85c \uc7a1\ud790 \uacc4\uc57d \ubb3c\ub7c9) 668\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc57d 12% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub137\ud50c\ub9ad\uc2a4(Netflix)\ub294 \uc8fc\ub2f9 31\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\uc218 \uc81c\uc548 \uad00\ub828 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c 9%\uac00\ub7c9 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. IGV(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\uc6e8\uc5b4 ETF)\ub294 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 10% \ub118\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uae08\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 \uc57d 5,192\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc6d4\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Positioning For Volatility<\/h3>\n\uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 5,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc624\ub974\uba70 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc6d4\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc790\uae08 \uc774\ub3d9)\uc640 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc758 600\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\ub2e8\uae30 \ub9e4\ub9e4\uc790)\ub77c\uba74 GDX ETF(\uae08\uad11 \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 ETF)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uae08\uad11\uc8fc \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098, S&#038;P 500\uc5d0 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub728\uac70\uc6b4 PPI \uc1fc\ud06c\ub85c \uc99d\uc2dc \ud754\ub4e4! \ub2e4\uc6b0 600p \uae09\ub77d, S&#038;P\u00b7\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 2\uc6d4 \ubd80\uc9c4. \uae08 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 2026\ub144 2\ud68c\ub85c \ucd95\uc18c, \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubd84\ud654\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48123","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48123"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48123\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48123"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48123"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48123"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}