{"id":48121,"date":"2026-02-27T23:46:43","date_gmt":"2026-02-27T23:46:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/mercan-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%ec%99%80-%eb%aa%a8%eb%a9%98%ed%85%80-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98%ec%9e%85%ec%96%b4-%ed%84%b0%ed%82%a4-2025%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-3-8-%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-02-27T23:46:43","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T23:46:43","slug":"mercan-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%ec%99%80-%eb%aa%a8%eb%a9%98%ed%85%80-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98%ec%9e%85%ec%96%b4-%ed%84%b0%ed%82%a4-2025%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-3-8-%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/mercan-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%ec%99%80-%eb%aa%a8%eb%a9%98%ed%85%80-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98%ec%9e%85%ec%96%b4-%ed%84%b0%ed%82%a4-2025%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-3-8-%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercan, \uc218\uc694\uc640 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \ud130\ud0a4 2025\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 3.8% \uc804\ub9dd\u20262025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 3.9% \uc608\uc0c1"},"content":{"rendered":"ING\ub294 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30(4Q25) \ud130\ud0a4\uc758 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\uc561) \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc744 3.9%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc5f0\uac04 3.8% \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc131\uc7a5\uc740 \uc8fc\ub85c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc218\uc694(\uac00\uacc4\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\u00b7\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc18c\ube44\uc640 \ud22c\uc790)\uac00 \uc774\ub04c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubd84\uae30\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n2\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 2.9%\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(\uc791\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50) \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 31.4%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 \ub2ec\uc758 30.7%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc131\uc7a5 \ubc0f \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\ub77c\ub9c8\ub2e8(\uc774\uc2ac\ub78c\uc758 \uae08\uc2dd \uae30\uac04) \uc804\uc5d0 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8(\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uc704\ud5d8)\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub354 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 3\uc6d4 MPC(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c, \uae08\ub9ac \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub3c8\uc758 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucd9c \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uae00\uc740 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc801\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ucd08\ub97c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ucd9c(\uad6d\ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\u00b7\ud22c\uc790) \ub355\ubd84\uc5d0 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc6b0\ub824\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc(\u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c\u2019 \ubb3c\uac00, \uc27d\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc600\uace0, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 31.4%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uae08\ub9ac, \uc2dc\uc911\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc90c) \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ud588\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc791\ub144 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc57d 55%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 42.6%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub192\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 50%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2025\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \uc6d0\ub3d9\ub825\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc218\uc694\ub3c4 \uacb0\uad6d \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5\ubcc4 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\uae08\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790)\uc5d0\uac8c \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9bc) \uc2dc\uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4\uac1c\uc6d4\uc9f8 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c\uc778 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158\ucc98\ub7fc \u2018\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\u2019\uc5d0\uc11c \ud30c\uc0dd\ub41c \uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc740 3\ubd84\uae30\ubd80\ud130 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubc29\ud5a5)\ub97c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ube68\ub77c\uc9c0\uba74 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub2a6\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, FRA(Forward Rate Agreement, \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \ud2b9\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uacc4\uc57d)\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc678\ud658(FX, \ud1b5\ud654 \uac70\ub798)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud130\ud0a4 \ub9ac\ub77c(TRY, \ud130\ud0a4 \ud1b5\ud654)\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4. \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc624\ub294 \uce90\ub9ac \ub9e4\ub825(\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud574 \uc774\uc790 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc774 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\ub098 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub274\uc2a4(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uc678\uad50 \uac08\ub4f1 \ub4f1)\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(option straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uace0 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc774 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcf4\ub974\uc0ac \uc774\uc2a4\ud0c4\ubd88 100 \uc9c0\uc218(Borsa Istanbul 100, \ud130\ud0a4 \ub300\ud45c \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub193\uc5ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984) \uc7a5\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc94\uc704\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c(index futures, \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0, \ud558\ub2e8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158(index options, \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud560 \ub54c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4)\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc4f8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a> <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud130\ud0a4 \uacbd\uc81c, \uc131\uc7a5 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uac00 \ubc1c\ubaa9? ING\ub294 2025\ub144 GDP 3.8%\u00b74Q25 3.9% \uc804\ub9dd, \ubb3c\uac00 2\uc6d4 MoM 2.9%\u00b7YoY 31.4%\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7TRY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48121"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48121\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}