{"id":48050,"date":"2026-02-27T08:44:08","date_gmt":"2026-02-27T08:44:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-aud-usd%ea%b0%80-0-7110-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-rba%ec%9d%98-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91\/"},"modified":"2026-02-27T08:44:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T08:44:08","slug":"%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-aud-usd%ea%b0%80-0-7110-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-rba%ec%9d%98-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-aud-usd%ea%b0%80-0-7110-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-rba%ec%9d%98-%ec%8b%a0%ec%a4%91\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c AUD\/USD\uac00 0.7110 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, RBA\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 AUD\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD\ub294 2\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 0.7110 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c(\uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294) \uae30\ub300 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c RBA\uac00 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac) \ub97c 3.85%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uacb0\uc815\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 1\ubd84\uae30(Q1, 1~3\uc6d4) \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c)\ub97c 4\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc774 \ub418\uc5b4\uc11c\uc57c \ubaa8\ub450 \ubc1b\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uc178 \ubd88\ub85d \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uade0\ud615(\uacfc\uc5f4\ub3c4 \uce68\uccb4\ub3c4 \uc544\ub2cc \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc778\ub0b4(\uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c)\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

Rba Policy Expectations<\/h3>\n1\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 RBA\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83) \ud3ed\uc744 \uc57d 40bp\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub9ce\uc740 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc815\uc810(\uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uc218\uc900)\uc774 4.10% \uadfc\ucc98\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc815\ucc45(\uad00\uc138 \ub4f1)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba74, \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(\ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud658\uc728)\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ub2a6\uac8c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d 1\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI, \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub97c \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0 \ud310\uacb0\ub85c \uae30\uc874\uc758 \uc0c1\ud638 \uad00\uc138 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ubb34\ud6a8\uac00 \ub41c \ub4a4, \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \uc77c\uad04 15% \uad00\uc138(\uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uae30\ub294 \uc138\uae08)\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc774\ubbf8\uc2a8 \uadf8\ub9ac\uc5b4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb34\uc5ed\ub300\ud45c\ubd80(USTR, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2f4\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad00) \ub300\ud45c\ub294 \uba70\uce60 \uc548\uc5d0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uad00\uc138\ub97c 15% \ub610\ub294 \uadf8 \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

Current Backdrop And Market Positioning<\/h3>\n\ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ub2e4\ub974\ub2e4. RBA\uac00 \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ucabd)\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ABS, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud1b5\uacc4\uae30\uad00)\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ub3d9) \ub294 3.1%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uace0, 2025\ub144 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 75%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uc2dc\ud589\ub41c \uc77c\uad04 15% \uad00\uc138\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc640 \uacc4\uc18d \uc528\ub984\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ubd84\uc11d\uad6d(BEA, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uacbd\uc81c\ud1b5\uacc4 \uae30\uad00)\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ub294 3.5%\ub97c \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae34\ucd95\uc801(\uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc2dd\ud788\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uac83)\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d(\ud558\ub77d \uc694\uc778)\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\ub294 AUD\/USD\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294) \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc740 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 RBA \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \ud314\uc544, \ud070 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95)\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD 0.7110\ub300\ub85c \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d\u2014\ubc18\uc804 \uac00\ub2a5\ud560\uae4c? RBA\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub098 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\uc870. \ubbf8 15% \uad00\uc138\ub85c Fed \uae34\ucd95 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub85c \ud558\ubc29\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4 \ubc0f \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc120\ud638. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48050"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48050\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}