{"id":47792,"date":"2026-05-29T22:48:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T22:48:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T22:48:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T22:48:53","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\uc640 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\u2026\uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0 0.12% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud658\uc728\uc740 1.1664~1.1679 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 1.50% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 87.20\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.17% \ub0b4\ub9b0 98.81\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI)\uac00 62.7\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 50.5\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 5\uc6d4 HICP \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.7%\ub85c 2.9%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.5%\ub85c \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc815\uccb4\ub418\uace0 \uc804\uc7c1 \uad00\ub828 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ud655\uc0b0\ub420 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9(oil shock)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uc801 \ud568\uc758\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1666 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \ubc00\uc9d1\ud55c 50\uc77c\u00b7100\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\uace0, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uc120 \uc774\ud0c8 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 1.1582 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. RSI(14)\ub294 51.5\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 1.1809 \uc778\uadfc, \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.1245\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uacfc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacac\uc778<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud575\ud569\uc758 \uc7ac\uac1c \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c EUR\/USD\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac00\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac 1.0755 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 82\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\uba70, \uc774\uc804 \uba87 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub838\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uad50\ucc29 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \u2018\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc624\ud504\u2019 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc870\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub9dd \ucc28\uc774\ub85c\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 3.1%\ub85c \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c(stubborn)\u2019 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud574 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc6b4\uc2e0 \ud3ed\uc744 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub113\ud788\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub410\uace0, \uacf5\ud1b5\ud1b5\ud654(\uc720\ub85c)\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 17 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \ud3b8\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \ud070 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub454 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74 EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(interest rate differentials)\uc758 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \uc2e3\ub294\ub2e4. \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.06 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 7\uc6d4\ubb3c \ud48b\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774\ub2e4. \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 WTI \uc6d0\uc720\uc120\ubb3c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2a6\uc5ec\ub984 \ub9cc\uae30 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ud68c \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 0.12%\u2191\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u00b7\ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac \uace0\ucc29\uc774 \uc720\ub85c \uc555\ubc15. \uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\u00b7\ub3c5\uc77c \ubb3c\uac00 \ud63c\uc870 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\u2026 FX \ud48b\u00b7WTI \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uae30\ud68c \u2018\ubd80\uac01\u2019.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47768,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47792","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47792"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47792\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47768"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}