\uae08\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d\u2013\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 4,366\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b0 \ub4a4 4,583\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc804 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \ud574\uc81c\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uace0, Axios\uac00 \ud734\uc804\uc744 \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\ud558\ub294 60\uc77c\uc9dc\ub9ac \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c(MOU) \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub97c \ub0b4\ub193\uc740 \ub4a4 \u201c\uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd5c\uc885 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574\u201d \uc0c1\ud669\uc2e4(Situation Room)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud0c0\uc2a4\ub2d8(Tasnim)\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud0c0\uacb0\ub41c \uac83\ub3c4, \ud655\uc778\ub41c \uac83\ub3c4 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\uac1c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, WTI\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 5\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc758 \uccab \uc6d4\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc774\uc288\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \ubd80\uac01\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uac1c\uc120\ub41c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 7\uc8fc \uace0\uc810(99.54)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9b0 \ub4a4 98.80 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc6d4\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, PCE \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 2% \ubb3c\uac00\ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\uc870\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uac00 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 20\uc77c \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800\ubc34\ub4dc \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA)\uc778 4,587.97\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubc34\ub4dc\ub294 4,761\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc, \ud558\ub2e8 \ubc34\ub4dc\ub294 4,414.50\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 48 \ubd80\uadfc, ADX\ub294 24 \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud6a1\ubcf4) \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\uae30 \uc88b\uc740 \ud14c\ub9c8\ub294 \u2018\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. CBOE \uc6d0\uc720 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(OVX)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc\uc5d0\ub9cc 15% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 WTI\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc131\uc0ac\ub418\ub4e0 \ubd88\ubc1c\ub418\ub4e0(\ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c) \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubc88 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 2015\ub144 JCPOA \ud569\uc758 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uce21\uba74\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ucd5c\uc885 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ub2ec\uc5d0 WTI\ub294 \uc57d 20% \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc774\ubc88 \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uc2e4\ud328\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae08\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ubd88\uba85\ud655\ud574 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc131\uc0ac\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\uac00 \ub300\ub7b5 4,400~4,800\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0b4\ub294 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(iron condor) \ub4f1 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub294 \uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \uc81c\uc57d\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0(Core) PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 4.1%\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc758 \ub450 \ubc30\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub192\uc5ec, \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5ed\uc2dc \uac1c\uc120\ub418\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\uc5d0 \ub20c\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\ub294 \uc904\ub2e4\ub9ac\uae30 \uad6c\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub193\uc5ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 DXY\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac15\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uc790\uc81c\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uae30\uc874 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \uc804\uc220\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uae08 \ubc18\ub4f1, \uc720\uac00\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud0c0\uacb0 \ubbf8\ud655\uc778. \uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\uc57d. \uc6d0\uc720 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1 \uc18d \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\uae08 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47790,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47791"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47791\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47790"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47791"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47791"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}