{"id":47740,"date":"2026-05-29T14:00:20","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T14:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-%eb%82%b4%eb%b6%80-%ea%b0%9c%ed%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%b4%88%ec%a0%90%ec%9d%84-%eb%a7%9e%ec%b6%94%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T14:00:20","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T14:00:20","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-%eb%82%b4%eb%b6%80-%ea%b0%9c%ed%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%b4%88%ec%a0%90%ec%9d%84-%eb%a7%9e%ec%b6%94%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-%eb%82%b4%eb%b6%80-%ea%b0%9c%ed%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%b4%88%ec%a0%90%ec%9d%84-%eb%a7%9e%ec%b6%94%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uac1c\ud601\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc720\ub85c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uad6c\uc870\uac1c\ud601 \uc774\uc288\ub85c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \ubd84\uc218\ub839\uc740 6\uc6d4 16~17\uc77c \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\ub2e4. \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 4\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds Rate) \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 8\ub3004\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ud588\ub294\ub370, 1\uba85\uc740 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70 3\uba85\uc740 \uc644\ud654\uc801(\uc778\ud558) \ud3b8\ud5a5 \ubb38\uad6c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ubc18\ub300\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uac70\ubc84\ub10c\uc2a4\uc640 \uc18c\ud1b5 \ubc29\uc2dd \ub17c\uc7c1\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\uc774, \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 ECB, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ), \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. DBS\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ud2b8\ub9ac\uac70\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud558\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 98 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.18 \uc704\ub85c \uc7ac\ucc28 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc791\uc131\ub410\uc73c\uba70 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

—<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uc640 \uac70\uc2dc \ud658\uacbd<\/h3>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uacfc ECB \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubd84\ud654\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 6\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uc774\uc288\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uba70 \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, ECB\ub294 \uae34\ucd95\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 4\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 2.9%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc, \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc758 \ubd84\uc5f4\uc740 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc99d\ud3ed\ub418\uba70, \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218\uac00 21\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c 49.8\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uacbd\uae30 \uc218\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub0b4\ubd80 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, DXY\ub294 98.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

—<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\ubc18\uba74 ECB\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4. \uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc640\ud504(OIS)\ub294 6\uc6d4 12\uc77c ECB \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 85%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 DXY\uac00 98.00 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud604\uc7ac 1.1720 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.18 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.1800 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub610\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc635\uc158\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\ub294 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \uc5ed\ud559\uc744 \u2018\uc815\ubc18\ub300\u2019\ub85c \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, ECB\ub294 \ub4a4\ucc98\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uc5ed\ud560\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uc591\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138, \uc720\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2e0\ud638?\u201d ECB 6\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 85%\ub85c \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 \uac15\ud654. Fed\ub294 \ub0b4\ubd80 \ub17c\uc7c1\u00b7\uc9c0\ud45c \ud63c\uc7ac\ub85c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300. DXY 98 \ud558\ud68c \uc2dc EUR\/USD 1.18 \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47740","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47740"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47740\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47739"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47740"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47740"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47740"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}