{"id":47738,"date":"2026-05-29T13:29:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T13:29:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%c2%b7fomc-%ec%8b%9c%ed%97%98%eb%8c%80-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0%ec%9c%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T13:29:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T13:29:03","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%c2%b7fomc-%ec%8b%9c%ed%97%98%eb%8c%80-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0%ec%9c%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%c2%b7fomc-%ec%8b%9c%ed%97%98%eb%8c%80-%eb%8c%80%ea%b8%b0%ec%9c%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0 ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubc18\uc601\u00b7FOMC \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300 \ub300\uae30\u2026\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 16~17\uc77c \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 FOMC\ub294 4\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds Rate) \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 8\ub3004\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc Fed \uc758\uc7a5\uc5d0\uac8c \ucd08\uae30 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ud55c \uba85\uc740 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \uc138 \uba85\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5(easing-bias) \ubb38\uad6c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ubc18\ub300\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2f4 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc\ub294 Fed\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ucc98\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uad6c\uc870 \uac1c\ud601\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub098\uc628 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\uba74 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uba85\ud655\ud558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 ECB, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ), \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 DBS\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub97c \ub2e8\uae30 \ud53c\ubc97(\ubd84\uae30\uc810)\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud558\uba70, DXY\uac00 98\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.18\uc744 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub410\uc73c\uba70 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0\ub97c \uac70\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>ECB\uc640 Fed \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uacfc \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubd84\ud654\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 6\uc6d4 11\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.4%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc57d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud750\ub984 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc808\uc0c1\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub17c\uac70\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\uba74 Fed\ub294 \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c 49.8\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ub4f1 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. Fed \ub0b4\ubd80 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 6\uc6d4 17\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud568\uc758\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 ECB\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \ud655\ub960\uc744 90% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ud3ec\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub294 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. DXY\uac00 98 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c 1.1800 \ubd80\uadfc \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uac15\uc138 \ubdf0\ub97c \ud45c\ud604\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740 \ubc18\ub300\uc600\ub2e4. 2022\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc ECB\uc758 \ud6c4\ud589\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 DXY\uac00 110\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0 EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud328\ub9ac\ud2f0(1.00) \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc218\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \uadf8 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c0\ub294 \uc804\ud658\uc810\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc744 \ubaa9\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc57d\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc18d \u2018ECB \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 90%\u2019\u2026Fed\ub294 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\u00b7\ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131 \ub17c\ub780\uc5d0 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubb34\uac8c. DXY 98 \ud558\ud68c \uc2dc EUR\/USD 1.18 \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c \uae30\ub300, \ucf5c\ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47737,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47738","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47738","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47738"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47738\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47738"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47738"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47738"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}