{"id":47728,"date":"2026-05-29T12:00:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T12:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%eb%85%bc%ec%9d%98%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-xau\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T12:00:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T12:00:23","slug":"%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%eb%85%bc%ec%9d%98%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-xau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%eb%85%bc%ec%9d%98%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-xau\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \ub17c\uc758\uc5d0 \uae08 \ubc18\ub4f1\u2026PCE \uc9c0\ud45c \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c\uc5d0\ub3c4 XAU\/USD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc720\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 XAU\/USD\uac00 \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 4,525\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\uac12\uc740 \uc55e\uc11c 3\uc6d4 27\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud130\uce58\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc678\uad50 \uad00\ub828 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc744 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc545\uc2dc\uc624\uc2a4(Axios)\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc815\ubd80 \uad00\uacc4\uc790 2\uba85\uc744 \uc778\uc6a9\ud574 \u2018\ucd08\uc548 \ud569\uc758\uc548\uc774 \ud734\uc804\uc744 60\uc77c \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \ub0b4\uc6a9\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub0b4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\ub728\ub838\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc900\ube44\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba70 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub410\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc81c\uc548\uc740 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uc2b9\uc778 \uc808\ucc28\uac00 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uace0, \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc758 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub728\uac70\uc6b4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uacbd\uc81c\ubd84\uc11d\uad6d(BEA)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 4\uc6d4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c 3.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub300\ub85c 3.3%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\uc5f0\uc728)\uc740 2.0%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.6%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\ub294 2026\ub144 25bp(0.25%p) \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 50%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc740 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) 4,627.51\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\uace0, \uc800\ud56d\uc740 4,667.32\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 200\uc77c SMA 4,405.20\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ucc44\ub110 \ud558\ub2e8 4,348.84\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc774\uba70, RSI\ub294 42 \ubd80\uadfc, MACD\ub294 \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc218\uae09 \uc5ed\ud559\uacfc \ud604\uc7ac \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uae08 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \ud798 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub07c\uc5b4 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub354 \ud070 \ucd95\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c \uae30\uc870\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uac00\ub450\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub09c\ub2e4. 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \uae08 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 17.5%\ub85c, \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc800\uc810(14%)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \ucd09\ubc1c \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1 \uacb0\ub82c \ub610\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 CFTC \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud380\ub4dc\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218(\ub137\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0\ub294 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ucd5c\uadfc 4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uac70\uc758 20% \uc904\uc600\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uacc4 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub610\ub294 \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b(OTM) \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc740, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub274\uc2a4\uac00 \ud604 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc774\ud0c8\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70 \u2018\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\u2019\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9de\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4\uba74, \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 4,600\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread)\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8(\uc778\ucef4 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2022\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uce21\uba74\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\ubc1c \uac15\uc138 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc555\ub3c4\ud558\uba70 \uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ub808\uc778\uc9c0) \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uc810\uc740 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\uc774 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 4,405\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc9c4\uc785 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uae08\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub192\uc740 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\ub418, \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc544\uc9c1 \ub05d\ub09c \uac8c \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u201d \uae08\uac12\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, PCE \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba70 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47727,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc544\uc9c1 \ub05d\ub09c \uac8c \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u201d \uae08\uac12\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, PCE \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba70 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.\" \/>\n\t<meta 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\uac8c \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u201d \uae08\uac12\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, PCE \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba70 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%eb%85%bc%ec%9d%98%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-xau\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-29T12:00:23+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-29T12:00:23+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \ub17c\uc758\uc5d0 \uae08 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