{"id":47665,"date":"2026-05-29T03:03:54","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T03:03:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%84%a4%eb%b9%84%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%90-aud-usd-0-7150%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T03:03:54","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T03:03:54","slug":"%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%84%a4%eb%b9%84%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%90-aud-usd-0-7150%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-%ec%84%a4%eb%b9%84%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%90-aud-usd-0-7150%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c\uc5d0 AUD\/USD 0.7150\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\ubbf8\uad6d PCE\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \uc644\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 0.7100\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4\uac00 0.7150 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubbfc\uac04 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790(\uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc124\ube44\u00b7\uc2dc\uc124\uc5d0 \uc4f0\ub294 \ub3c8)\uac00 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 6.5% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(1.0%)\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c8 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc7a5\ube44\u00b7\ud50c\ub79c\ud2b8\u00b7\uae30\uacc4 \ud22c\uc790\ub294 18.1% \uae09\uc99d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud638\uc8fc\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ABS)\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \uac74\uc124\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uc810\uc744 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. 2026~27\ub144 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790(\uc790\ubcf8\uc9c0\ucd9c, Capex) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub3c4 \uc57d 10% \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc57d\ud588\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uac00\uacc4 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 1.1% \uac10\uc18c\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd(\uac10\uc18c\ud3ed\uc774 \ub354 \uc791\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.3%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 0.2%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1(0.3%)\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc804\uccb4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 3.8%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c 2023\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 PCE \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9e4\uae30\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0, CME FedWatch(\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 50\ub30050\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 0.7100 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub6ab\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc77c\uac04 50\uae30\uac04 EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub97c \ub450\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120)\uac00 0.7100 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud588\uace0, \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI(\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ud658 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 \uc774\ub2ec \ucd08 \uace0\uc810\uc778 0.7300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc77c\uc815\uc740 \uc77c\uc694\uc77c \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(NBS) PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218, \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc124\ubb38 \uc9c0\ud45c), \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \ubc1c\uc5b8, \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ud638\uc8fc 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac04\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>AUD\/USD Support and Investment Flows<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 0.7100 \ubd80\uadfc \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uacac\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc704\ucd95\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae30\uc5c5 \ud22c\uc790\uac00 \uae09\uc99d\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0, \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc18c\ud55c\uc758 \ubc1b\uce68(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub2e8)\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\ub825\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \ud22c\uc790 \ud655\ub300\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc774 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790\ub97c 6.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc5c5\uacc4 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc131\uc7a5\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\ub4dc\ub2c8\ub294 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\u00b7\ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591(APAC) \uc0c1\uc704 5\ub300 \uac70\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud22c\uc790 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>U.S. Inflation, Event Risk, and Trading Strategies<\/h3>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ud3b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uac15\uc694\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE 3.3%\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. CME FedWatch\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 50\ub30050\uc73c\ub85c \uac08\ub824 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc7ac\ub8cc(\ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \ucd09\ub9e4)\uac00 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc14\uafc0 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubd80\uac01\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>0.7100\uc758 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc640 \uad75\uc9c1\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub4f1\ub77d(\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc5c6\uc774 \ucd9c\ub801\uc774\ub294 \uc7a5)\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. 1\uc8fc \ub9cc\uae30 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed)\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud638\uc8fc GDP\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 9.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 0.7100\uc744 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uc190\uc808 \uae30\uc900\uc120(\ub77c\uc778 \uc778 \ub354 \uc0cc\ub4dc)\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \uc885\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 0.7100\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uba74 0.7000\uc73c\ub85c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 0.7250\uacfc \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uace0\uc810\uc778 0.7300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uac15\uc138 \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uba74 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad00\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c0.7100\u201d \uc0ac\uc218\ud55c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790 6.5% \uae09\uc99d\uc774 \ubc84\ud300\ubaa9. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc18c\ube44 \uc704\ucd95\u00b7\ubbf8 PCE \ud63c\uc870\ub85c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc81c\ud55c. 0.7300 \uc800\ud56d, \u4e2d PMI\u00b7\ud30c\uc6d4\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc GDP\u00b7\ubbf8 NFP\uac00 \ubcc0\uace1\uc810.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47665","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47665"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47665\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47665"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47665"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47665"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}