{"id":47663,"date":"2026-05-29T02:58:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T02:58:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ed%99%94-%ec%99%84%eb%a7%8c%ed%95%9c-pce%c2%b7gdp%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%acgbp-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%eb%aa%bb%ed%95%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T02:58:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T02:58:28","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ed%99%94-%ec%99%84%eb%a7%8c%ed%95%9c-pce%c2%b7gdp%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%acgbp-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%eb%aa%bb%ed%95%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ed%99%94-%ec%99%84%eb%a7%8c%ed%95%9c-pce%c2%b7gdp%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%acgbp-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%eb%aa%bb%ed%95%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c PCE\u00b7GDP\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(GBP\/USD) \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubabb\ud574\u2026\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654, 1.3440 \ubd80\uadfc \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5(\uacbd\uae30) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, GBP\/USD(\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec) \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uac70\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(0.3%)\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE(\uc804\uccb4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 0.4%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(0.5%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0)\ub294 \uc5f0\uc728 \uae30\uc900 2%\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c 1.6%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 12:30 GMT(\uadf8\ub9ac\ub2c8\uce58 \ud45c\uc900\uc2dc) \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\uc5d0 \uc774\ubbf8 1.3350 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 1.3450\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 1.3440 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc790\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc810\u2019\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc3e0\ub838\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc77c\uac04 200 EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0)\uc778 1.3400 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud588\uace0, 50 EMA\uc778 1.3460 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. 1.3500\uc774 \ubd84\uae30\uc810(\ud53c\ubc97)\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub418\uba70 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc740 1.3550, \ud558\ub2e8\uc740 1.3350 \uc774\uc5b4 1.3300\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 Stoch RSI(\uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\u00b7RSI\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud655\ub960\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\/\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 30\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uacbd\uacc4\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc601\uad6d \uc77c\uc815\uc740 \ubca0\uc77c\ub9ac BoE(\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589) \ucd1d\uc7ac \uc5f0\uc124\uc774 \uae08\uc694\uc77c, \ud654\uc694\uc77c, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ub4f1 4\ucc28\ub840 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uace0, \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 BoE MPR Hearings(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uccad\ubb38\ud68c\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uc758\ud68c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc810\uac80\ud558\ub294 \uc790\ub9ac)\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c 4\uc6d4 MPC(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c) \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 8\ub300 1\ub85c \uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\uacfc \uc218\uc694\uc77c ISM Manufacturing\/Services PMI(\uacf5\uae09\uad00\ub9ac\ud611\ud68c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\/\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b750\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0)\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uace0, \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc77c\uc694\uc77c \ubc24 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 6\uc6d4 5\uc77c \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 NFP(\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \ubc30\uacbd<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc GDP \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ud1b5\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218(\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac15\uc138)\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub418\uae30 \uc27d\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uac70\uc758 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2e8\uc77c \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ubbf8\ubbf8\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(dovish\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub610\ub294 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc9c4) \uacb0\uacfc\u2019\ub97c \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uba74, \uc2e4\uc81c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \ub418\ub808 \ucc28\uc775 \uc2e4\ud604\uc758 \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub418\uae30\ub3c4 \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uac07\ud78c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc77c\ub9ac \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 4\ucc28\ub840 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uadf8\uc758 \ud1a4\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 4.5%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uace0, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669(\uc2a4\ud2f0\ud0a4\u00b7\ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc774\ub77c\uba74, \uadf8\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub610\ub294 \uae34\ucd95 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc9c4) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uac15\ud55c \ucd09\ub9e4\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ub420 \ub54c, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uac15\uc870\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 5\uc77c \uae08\uc694\uc77c NFP\uac00 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c(\uc2e4\uc5c5\uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \ucc98\uc74c \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uac74\uc218)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 23\ub9cc8\ucc9c \uac74\uc73c\ub85c 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc11c\uc11c\ud788 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\ub978 \uc2dc\uc810\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uace0\ubbfc\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \ud638\uc7ac\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uae08\ucc98\ub7fc \ud070 \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uae30 \uc804 \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc881\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae30\ud68c\ub294 \u2018\ub3cc\ud30c\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 1.3500 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\ud0c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc601\uad6d \ub610\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac\ub294 1.3400\uc744 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c, 1.3460~1.3500 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc800\ud56d(\ucc9c\uc7a5)\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. 1.3500\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc804\ud658 \ud655\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uadf8\ub54c\uac00 \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud655\ub300\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ubca0\uc77c\ub9ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774\ub098 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc904 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uad00\ub9dd\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 GBP\/USD \ubb34\ubc18\uc751\u2026\uc774\ubbf8 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc120\ubc18\uc601. 1.3400 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b71.3460~1.3500 \uc800\ud56d \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c. \ub2e4\uc74c\uc8fc \ubca0\uc77c\ub9ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\u00b7ISM\u00b7\ud30c\uc6d4\u00b7NFP\uac00 \ub3cc\ud30c \ucd09\ub9e4. 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