{"id":47645,"date":"2026-05-28T21:57:48","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T21:57:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/abn%ec%95%94%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%b3%b4%ed%97%98%ec%84%b1-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ed%95%9c-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%eb%8d%94-%ec%98%88\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T21:57:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T21:57:48","slug":"abn%ec%95%94%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%b3%b4%ed%97%98%ec%84%b1-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ed%95%9c-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%eb%8d%94-%ec%98%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/abn%ec%95%94%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%b3%b4%ed%97%98%ec%84%b1-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ed%95%9c-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%eb%8d%94-%ec%98%88\/","title":{"rendered":"ABN\uc554\ub85c, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8\uc131\u2019 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ub354 \uc608\uc0c1\u2026\uc774\ud6c4 \uc7a5\uae30 \ub3d9\uacb0, 2026\ub144\ubd80\ud130 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ABN\uc554\ub85c\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BOE) \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC)\uac00 \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8\uc131(\ub9cc\uc77c\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud55c)\u2019 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uc740 3\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uc640 \ub2ec\ub9ac, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc6b0\ub824\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c) \ub258\uc559\uc2a4\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc131\uc219 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba74\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8)\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 ABN\uc554\ub85c\ub294 3\ubd84\uae30(Q3) \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \u2018\uad00\ub9dd(wait-and-see)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4. BOE\uac00 \ud604 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc774\ubbf8 \u2018\uae34\ucd95\uc801(\uacbd\uae30\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc5b5\ub204\ub974\ub294 \uc218\uc900)\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubbf8\ub904\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc989 \u2018\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\u2192\uc815\uc9c0(\ub3d9\uacb0)\u2192\uae34 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc720\uc9c0\u2192\uc774\ud6c4 \uc644\ud654\u2019\ub77c\ub294 \uacbd\ub85c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>MPC\u2019s Tone Softens as Policy Nears a Turning Point<\/h3>\n<p>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud55c\uce35 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uae30\uc870\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c 4\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc815\uc810(\ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900)\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 8\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b7bp\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 1\ud68c\ub97c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>ABN\uc554\ub85c\ub294 \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8\uc131\u2019 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc778\uc0c1 1\ud68c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uac00\uc744 \ub9cc\uae30 SONIA(\uc601\uad6d \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ud314\uc544 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc791\uc744\uc218\ub85d \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub0b4\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \u2018\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\u2019\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud574, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Rate Cut Timing and Investment Strategies<\/h3>\n<p>\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 0.1%\ub85c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc815\uccb4\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc774\ub978 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 BOE\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(\uc778\ud558)\uc744 \uc555\ubc15\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774\ub2e4. ABN\uc554\ub85c\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\ubd80\ud130 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \u2018\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uc2a4\ud0c0\ud305 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651(\ubbf8\ub798 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uc790\uc728 \uc2a4\uc651 \uacc4\uc57d)\u2019\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\ucee8\ub300 2027\ub144 \ucd08\ubd80\ud130 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294(receive fixed) \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uccb4\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc545\ud654\ub420 \ub54c BOE\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b0 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub354 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BOE, \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8\uc131\u2019 1\ud68c \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud6c4 \uc7a5\uae30 \ub3d9\uacb0? ABN\uc554\ub85c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc0c9 \uc57d\ud654 \uc9c4\ub2e8, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305\u00b72026\ub144\ub9d0 \uc778\ud558 \ub300\ube44 \uc2a4\uc651 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc81c\uc2dc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47645","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47645"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47645\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}