{"id":47627,"date":"2026-05-28T16:28:29","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T16:28:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-3-8%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b94%ec%9b%94-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T16:28:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T16:28:29","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-3-8%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b94%ec%9b%94-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-3-8%eb%a1%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b94%ec%9b%94-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 3.8%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\u20264\uc6d4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 **\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE\u00b7Personal Consumption Expenditures) \ubb3c\uac00**\uac00 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ube68\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d **\uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80 \uc0b0\ud558 \uacbd\uc81c\ubd84\uc11d\uad6d(BEA\u00b7Bureau of Economic Analysis)**\uc740 **PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud3ec\ud568)**\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 **3.8%** \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4(3.5%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \uac19\uc558\ub2e4. **\uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc81c\uc678)**\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 **3.3%**\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE\uac00 **0.4%**, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 **0.2%** \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. **\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ub4dd**\uc740 \ubcf4\ud569\uc774\uc5c8\uace0 **\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c**\uc740 **0.5%** \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 **\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58 \uc9c0\uc218)**\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc00\ub9ac\uba70 **99.20**\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2f9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 **0.3%**, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 **3.3%** \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE\ub294 **3.8%**\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \u201c3\ub144 \ub0b4 \ucd5c\uace0\u201d\uc774\uc790 \u201c2023\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\u201d\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub410\ub2e4. **CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ub3c4\uad6c(\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815)** \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 **2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0** \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 **25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%p) 1\ud68c \uc774\uc0c1** \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc57d **50%**\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4. TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \uadfc\uc6d0\uacfc \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE\ub97c \uac01\uac01 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 **0.26%**, **0.43%**\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1(\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 **3.3%**, **3.8%**\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9)\ud588\uace0, **\uba85\ubaa9(\ubb3c\uac00 \ubc18\uc601 \uc804)\u00b7\uc2e4\uc9c8(\ubb3c\uac00 \ubc18\uc601 \ud6c4) \uc18c\ube44 \uc99d\uac00 \ub454\ud654** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc7ac\uac00\uc18d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud568\uc758<\/h3>\n<p>\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c0\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2019\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uba40\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE\uac00 **3.8%**\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc120 \uac83\uc740 \uc758\ubbf8\uac00 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 **\uace0\ucc29\ud654**\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc628 **\uc2e0\uc911\ud55c(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801) \ud1a4**\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70, **\ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubd80\uac01\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc2dc\uc7a5 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \ub54c, **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300)**\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 **VIX \uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8 S&#038;P500\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\uccb4\ub85c 10\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c 20\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub6f0\uace4 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 **\uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5)**\uc778 **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\ub3d9\uc77c \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\ub3d9\uc77c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218)**\uc774 S&#038;P500 \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc138\ubd80 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 **0.5%** \ub298\uc5b4 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ub4dd\uc740 \uc81c\uc790\ub9ac\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac00\uacc4\uac00 **\uc800\ucd95\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc744 \ub354 \uc4f0\ub294** \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ube44\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c **\ucd1d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\uc6a9 \uc794\uc561(\uac00\uacc4 \ub300\ucd9c\u00b7\uce74\ub4dc \ub4f1)**\uc774 **1\uc8701500\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec**\ub97c \ub118\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc18c\ube44 \ud328\ud134\uc740 \uc624\ub798\uac00\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 **\uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \ucd95\uc18c)**\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc838\uac00\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud658\uc728 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\uc218<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c **\uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0** \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 **50%**\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 **EUR\/USD(\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)**\uac00 **1.1560** \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec **\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uacfc\uac70 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\ub300)**\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \u2018**\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)**\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 **\uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1)**\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 **\ub2e8\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc544 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10)**\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)**\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc704\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc774\ubc88 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uac00\ubccd\uac8c \ub118\uae30\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub9ce\uc544 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc778\ud558 \uba40\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\u201d \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1\u20264\uc6d4 PCE 3.8%\ub85c \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d, \uc18c\ube44 0.5%\u2191\u00b7\uc18c\ub4dd \uc815\uccb4. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \uac15\ud654\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uace0\ucc29\ud654 \ubca0\ud305 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47627\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}