{"id":47622,"date":"2026-05-28T15:55:44","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T15:55:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%ec%84%9c%ed%94%84%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ec%a6%88%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%94\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T15:55:44","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T15:55:44","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%ec%84%9c%ed%94%84%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ec%a6%88%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%ec%84%9c%ed%94%84%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ec%a6%88%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uae30\uc870 \uac15\ud654\u2026\uc99d\uc2dc \uc555\ubc15\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE\u00b7Personal Consumption Expenditures) \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 1\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 4.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub294 4.3%\ub85c, \uc2e4\uc81c \uc218\uce58\ub294 0.1%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae30\uac04 \uc911 \uae30\uc870\uc801\uc778(\ubc14\ub2e5) \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub354 \uac15\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub354 \uc798 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uac00 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9) \uce21\uc815\uce58 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud558\ub098\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>1\ubd84\uae30 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 4.4%\ub85c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc0dd\uac01\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ub798\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc744 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc740 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uacbd)\u2019\ub97c \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \uad00\uc810\ub3c4 \uc870\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub0ae\ucdb0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\ub294 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 20% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ucc3e\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5: \uc8fc\uc2dd, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \ud658\uc728 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uac00\uc838\uac00\ub824\ub294) \uae30\uc870\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9(\uc774\uc790 \ubd80\ub2f4)\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc640 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\uc774\ub098 S&#038;P500 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \uae08\ub9ac \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ub54c \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc644\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \u2018\ucd9c\ub801\uc784(\ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud655\ub300)\u2019\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&#038;P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 17.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2022~2023\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc778 106.50\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub354 \uba3c\uc800 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1)\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uad00\ub828 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uadfc\uc6d0 PCE 1\ubd84\uae30 4.4%\ub85c \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\u2026\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub048\uc9c8\uae30\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ubb34\uac8c\uc5d0 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 20%\u2193. \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \ubd80\ub2f4, VIX\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47622","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47622\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}