{"id":47606,"date":"2026-05-28T11:25:35","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T11:25:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%8f%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%9c%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-2\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T11:25:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T11:25:35","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%8f%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%9c%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%8f%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%9c%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \uc81c\ud55c\u2026\uae08\uac12, 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08(XAU\/USD)\uc740 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA\u00b7\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uac00\uaca9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ub0b8 \uc120) \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc120 \ub4a4 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300\uc640 \uac01\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\uae34\ucd95\uc801(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \ud0dc\ub3c4**\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 **\uc774\uc790\uac00 \ubd99\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08(\ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0)**\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uc870\uce58\uc640 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc758 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ud574\uacb0 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\uac00\ub294 3\uc8fc\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \u2018\ubc18\uc601\u2019)\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 50%\ub85c, 2027\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 60%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub3c4 \uacac\uc870\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0) \uc7a0\uc815\uce58\uc640 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c XAU\/USD\ub294 500\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ucc44\ub110(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984) \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\/\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uc815\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 35 \ubd80\uadfc, MACD(\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\ub834\u00b7\ud655\uc0b0 \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\ucd94\uc138 \uac15\ub3c4\/\ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 0 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,311.11\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,480\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,625~4,630\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Outlook and Fundamental Drivers<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ucd5c\uadfc \uae08 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984 \uc18d \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 4\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \uae30\uc870 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 **\ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d** \ub610\ub294 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300**\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub454\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \ud1b5\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \u2018\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uba74\uc11c \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 26\uc77c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \ud574\uad70 \uc21c\ucc30 \uac15\ud654 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub294 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc2dc\ud0ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uae08\uac12\uc744 \ubc1b\uccd0\uc8fc\ub358 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae08 \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.85% \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uc774\uc790\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9(\ub2e4\ub978 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ud3ec\uae30\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9)\u2019\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 2026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uacfc \uada4\ub97c \uac19\uc774\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uae08\uac12\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12, \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \u2018\uc18d\uc784\uc218\u2019\uc77c\uae4c. 200\uc77c\uc120 \uc774\ud0c8 \ud6c4 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc57d\uc138, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc790\uae08\uc740 \u7f8e\ub85c. \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uacbd\uacc4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47606"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47606\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}