{"id":47577,"date":"2026-05-28T05:55:34","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T05:55:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T05:55:34","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T05:55:34","slug":"rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 0.7130\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \uc804\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uc8fc\uac04 \uc800\uc810 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud17c\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA\u00b7Reserve Bank of Australia)\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7Consumer Price Index, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uad6c\uc785\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ud488\ubaa9 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubaa8\uc544 \ub9cc\ub4e0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.2%\ub85c, 3\uc6d4(4.6%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uace0\uc6a9 \uac10\uc18c \ub4f1 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac \uc2dc\uc124\uc744 \ud0c0\uaca9\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8\uad70\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub780 \ub4dc\ub860 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ub300\ub97c \uaca9\ucd94\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc774 \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(CME FedWatch, \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc57d 50%, 1\uc6d4\uc740 60% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc7a0\uc815 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7Gross Domestic Product, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uacfc \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\ub3c4, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uacfc AUD\/USD \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>AUD\/USD\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ud750\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ud1b5\ud654\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 AUD\/USD\uc5d0 \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 CPI \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c, RBA\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae34\ucd95) \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, RBA\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ub354 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \ub300\uc870\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Core PCE, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc)\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c, \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b7basis point, 1bp\ub294 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud55c \ubc88 \ub354 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc131\uaca9\ub3c4 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158) \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub77c\uba74, AUD\/USD\uac00 \ub354 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \u2018\uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(out-of-the-money put option, \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305 \uc635\uc158)\u2019 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\ub300\uc218\uc775(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c-\ub9ac\uc6cc\ub4dc) \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 0.7000\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc778\uc2dd\ub418\ub294 \uad6c\uac04) \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c, 7~8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30(\uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc885\ub8cc \uc2dc\uc810)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud574 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc2dc\uac04\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \u2018\uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\uc815\u2019 \uad6c\uc870\ub85c, \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58)\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0 \uc870\uae08\uc529 \uc62c\ub77c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \ucee4\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadf8\ub9cc\ud07c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\uba74 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear put spread, \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub7b5)\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 0.7100 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 0.6950 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ucd08\uae30 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD 0.7130\uc120 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ud638\uc8fc \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\ub85c RBA \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uaebe\uc774\uace0, \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c 0.7000 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47577","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47577","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47577"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47577\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}