{"id":47574,"date":"2026-05-28T04:58:19","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T04:58:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%a2%8c%ec%9a%b0%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-44\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T04:58:19","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T04:58:19","slug":"%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%a2%8c%ec%9a%b0%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-44","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%a2%8c%ec%9a%b0%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-44\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\uacfc \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uc88c\uc6b0\u2026\uae08\uac12 4,455\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08 \uac00\uaca9(XAU\/USD)\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ucd08\ubc18 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 4,455\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uac70\ub798\ub294 \ud55c\uc0b0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc7a5 \ud6c4\ubc18 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uad00\ub9dd\uc138\uac00 \uc9d9\uc5b4\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. **\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218**\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc18c\ube44\ud55c \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 **\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c**\uc774\uba70, **\uadfc\uc6d0(core)**\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 **\uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678**\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub354 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub824\ub294 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ud611\uc0c1 \ud2c0\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c **\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611**\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \uacb0\ub860\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc11d\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uae38\ubaa9\uc73c\ub85c, \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9(3\uc6d4 3.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.3%(\uae30\uc874 3.2%)\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1**\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae08\ub9ac\ub85c, \uc624\ub974\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \ub9e4\ub825 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c **\uc774\uc790\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08**\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 28\uc77c \ud604\uc7ac \uae08\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. PCE \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub300\uae30\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ud0dd\ud560\uc9c0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub354 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc904 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0, \ud070 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ud55c\ucabd \ubc29\ud5a5 \ubca0\ud305\uc740 \uc790\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc2dc \ub300\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4. \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uace0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 **\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud68c\ud53c)**\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\uc774 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub3cc\ubc1c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c **\uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158** \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\uc774\uba70, \uc678\uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc608: \ud604\uc7ac\uac00\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00)\ub85c **\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)**\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud574 \uae09\ub4f1 \uc2dc \ubcf4\ud5d8\ucc98\ub7fc \uc4f0\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(3.3%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **CME FedWatch**\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 **\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud655\ub960**\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c\uc778\ub370, \ud604\uc7ac 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub728\uac81\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \uad73\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c **\ud48b\uc635\uc158**\uc774 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uac01\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \ub54c \ud65c\uc6a9\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubc29\ud5a5\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)** \ud655\ub300 \uc790\uccb4\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **Cboe \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(GVZ)**\ub294 \uae08 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc218\uce58\ud654\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778\ub370, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 17.8\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. **\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle)**\uc740 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12 4,455\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218 \uc18d \u2018PCE \ub300\uae30\u2019\uc5d0 \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30. \ubb3c\uac00 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\u2191\ub85c \uae08 \ubd80\ub2f4, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47574\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}