{"id":47561,"date":"2026-05-28T01:55:33","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T01:55:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%b5%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ed%83%80%ea%b2%b0-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90%ea%b3%bc-%ec%88%98%ec%b6%9c-%eb%b3%91%eb%aa%a9%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%a6%9d\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T01:55:33","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T01:55:33","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%b5%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ed%83%80%ea%b2%b0-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90%ea%b3%bc-%ec%88%98%ec%b6%9c-%eb%b3%91%eb%aa%a9%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%a6%9d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%b5%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ed%83%80%ea%b2%b0-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90%ea%b3%bc-%ec%88%98%ec%b6%9c-%eb%b3%91%eb%aa%a9%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%a6%9d\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \ud575\ud569\uc758 \ud0c0\uacb0 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uacfc \uc218\ucd9c \ubcd1\ubaa9\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uacf5\uae09 \uc99d\uac00\uc138 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 100\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \ud558\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba70 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \uc2dc\uc124\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ub8b0\ub97c \uc124\uce58\ud558\ub824 \ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ud639\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\uc744 \ud0c0\uaca9\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc740 \ub2e4\uc18c \uaebe\uc600\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d 10% \ub0ae\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud398\ub974\uc2dc\uc544\ub9cc(\uac78\ud504) \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4. \uae30\ub8b0 \uc81c\uac70, \ud6fc\uc190\ub41c \uc2dc\uc124 \ubcf5\uad6c, \uc720\uc870\uc120(\uc6d0\uc720 \uc6b4\ubc18\uc120) \ud655\ubcf4 \ubb38\uc81c\ub85c \uc989\uac01 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc801 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>IEA(\uad6d\uc81c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uae30\uad6c)\ub294 \uc11d\uc720 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 4\ubd84\uae30 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc218\uae09 \uade0\ud615\uc744 \ucc3e\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 EIA(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc815\ubcf4\uccad)\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uccb4\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\ucd94 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub298\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub298\ub9ac\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ub298\ub824\uba74 \uc11d\uc720 \uc2dc\ucd94 \uc7a5\ube44(\ub9ac\uadf8) \uc218\uac00 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Logistical Challenges Undermine Rapid Iranian Oil Return<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \u2018\uae30\ubcf8 \ud569\uc758(\ud070 \ud2c0\uc758 \ud569\uc758)\u2019 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798, \ud604\uc7ac \uc57d 98\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uacf5\uae09 \uc5ec\uac74\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub274\uc2a4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud55c \uce21\uba74\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\uac00 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc624\ub294 \ub370 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uac78\ub9b4 \ud575\uc2ec \ubb3c\ub958 \uc7a5\uc560\uc694\uc778\uc744 \uac04\uacfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uae30\ub8b0 \uc81c\uac70, \uc190\uc0c1\ub41c \uc6d0\uc720 \uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc218\ucd9c \uc2dc\uc124(\ud56d\ub9cc\u00b7\uc800\uc7a5\uc2dc\uc124 \ub4f1) \ubcf5\uad6c, \ucda9\ubd84\ud55c \uc720\uc870\uc120 \ud655\ubcf4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc218\uc8fc(\uba87 \uc8fc)\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ud574\uc0c1 \uc815\ubcf4(\uc120\ubc15 \uc6b4\ud56d\u00b7\uc800\uc7a5 \ud604\ud669\uc744 \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130) \ubcf4\uace0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc800\uc7a5(\uc720\uc870\uc120 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc5b4 \ubc14\ub2e4\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uad00\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\uc73c\ub85c 8000\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4 \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud569\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc720\uc870\uc120\uc740 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 4\ubd84\uc758 1\ub3c4 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud30c\uc545\ub41c\ub2e4. \uacf5\uae09\uc740 \ud55c \ubc88\uc5d0 \ubcf5\uadc0\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc7ac\uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294 \u2018\ub2e8\uacc4\uc801 \ud68c\ubcf5\u2019\uc774 \uc720\ub825\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2015\ub144 \ud575\ud569\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \ud558\ub8e8 100\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ub370 \uac70\uc758 1\ub144\uc774 \uac78\ub838\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc2e4\uc81c \ucda9\ub3cc\uacfc \ub354 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ud53c\ud574\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18\ub41c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c, \uc644\uc804\ud55c \uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc218\ucd9c \ub2a5\ub825 \ubcf5\uadc0\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uae30\uac04\uc740 \ub354 \uae38\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uccb4\uacb0\ub418\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uacf5\uae09 \ud655\ub300 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c 2026\ub144 \ub9d0~2027\ub144 \ucd08\uc758 \uc774\uc288\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Muted US Production Response And Market Implications<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uce21\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \uc57d\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \uc555\ubc15\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc774\ucee4 \ud734\uc988(Baker Hughes) \uc9d1\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc11d\uc720 \ub9ac\uadf8 \uc218\ub294 652\uae30\uc774\uba70, \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub192\uc740\ub370\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 5% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub298\ub824\uba74 \ub9ac\uadf8 \uc218\uac00 750\uae30\ub97c \ud6e8\uc52c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc544\uc57c \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc774 \ud22c\uc790\u00b7\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc5c4\uaca9\ud788 \uad00\ub9ac(\uc790\ubcf8 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \ud604\uae08\ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc870)\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uadf8\ub7f0 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 IEA\uc640 EIA\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc\ub3c4 \uc77c\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub450 \uae30\uad00 \ubaa8\ub450 4\ubd84\uae30 \ub9d0 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc218\uae09 \uade0\ud615\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0, \uc5ec\ub984\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uc218\uc900 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uccb4\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc11d\uc720 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \u2018\uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ube60\ub4ef\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc(\uc218\uc694 \ub300\ube44 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc5ec\uc720\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\u2019\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \u2018\ub69d\u2019\u2026\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ubc00\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubbf8 \ud0c0\uaca9\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae30\ub8b0\u00b7\uc2dc\uc124\ubcf5\uad6c\u00b7\uc720\uc870\uc120 \ubd80\uc871\uc774 \ubc1c\ubaa9. IEA\u00b7EIA\ub3c4 \uc218\uae09\uade0\ud615 \uc9c0\uc5f0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc0b0\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47561"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47561\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}